Cuiaba vs São Bernardo prediction
Sun 1 Nov, 21:30
Arena Pantanal
No bet worth taking on this match. None of its markets beats the bookmakers' price by more than our own uncertainty, so we stand aside. The likely outcomes below agree with the bookmakers instead.
Likely, at a fair price
We agree with the bookmakers: likely to land, but the odds give no edge-
Goals O/U 3.5Under 3.5 goalsUs 77%Books 75% Best odds 1.29 (Betano)
Match result: no bet
Home win
53%
Bookmakers 56%
Draw
26%
Bookmakers 26%
Away win
21%
Bookmakers 19%
Us 53%Bookmakers 56%
Odds too short
Uncertainty ±2.3%
Most likely home win, but we would not bet on it: only 53% likely; a bet needs at least 60%.
- Home win: 53% against a market price of 56% (-3.3%).
The full reasoning, 20 more markets and 1 version of this pick
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Cuiaba vs São Bernardo preview
Cuiaba host São Bernardo in the Serie B on Sunday 1 November at 21:30 at Arena Pantanal.
Our model gives Cuiaba 53%, the draw 26% and São Bernardo 21%; the bookmakers' prices said 56%, 26% and 19%.
Cuiaba have 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats from their last 5 (2 scored, 3 conceded).
São Bernardo have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats from their last 5 (9 scored, 8 conceded).
In their last 1 meeting Cuiaba won 0, São Bernardo won 0 and 1 was drawn, with 4.0 goals a game.
Another call we like: Under 3.5 goals (Goals O/U 3.5) at 77%.
More Serie B predictions
All Serie B matches- Fri 30 Oct, 22:30 Criciuma vs Ponte Preta Criciuma win 87% @ 1.08
- Sat 31 Oct, 19:00 Botafogo SP vs Sport Recife Botafogo SP win 41% @ 2.65
- Sat 31 Oct, 20:30 Vila Nova vs Juventude Vila Nova win 41% @ 2.42
- Sat 31 Oct, 22:30 Nautico Recife vs Avai Nautico Recife win 44% @ 2.07
- Sun 1 Nov, 19:00 Londrina vs America Mineiro Londrina win 52% @ 1.90
- Sun 1 Nov, 21:30 Novorizontino vs Operario-PR Novorizontino win 65% @ 1.48
Form and head-to-head
All competitionsCuiaba
LLLDW
- 26 Oct · A v America Mineiro 0–1 (xG 1.72–0.46)
- 20 Oct · A v Londrina 0–1 (xG 1.53–1.75)
- 11 Oct · H v Avai 0–1 (xG 1.66–0.47)
- 7 Oct · A v Vila Nova 0–0 (xG 0.73–1.13)
- 3 Oct · H v Ponte Preta 2–0 (xG 2.45–0.06)
São Bernardo
WLDLW
- 24 Oct · H v Vila Nova 3–2 (xG 1.55–1.95)
- 18 Oct · H v Criciuma 0–1 (xG 0.42–0.78)
- 11 Oct · A v Juventude 2–2 (xG 1.35–1.86)
- 6 Oct · A v Sport Recife 1–2 (xG 1.99–1.63)
- 2 Oct · H v CRB 3–1 (xG 0.56–1.93)
Head-to-head
Cuiaba 0 · draws 1 · São Bernardo 0, 4.0 goals a game
- 12 Jul 2026 · São Bernardo 2–2 Cuiaba (Serie B)