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NK Lokomotiva Zagreb vs NK Osijek prediction

Sun 1 Nov, 17:00 Stadion Maksimir
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No bet worth taking on this match. None of its markets beats the bookmakers' price by more than our own uncertainty, so we stand aside. The likely outcomes below agree with the bookmakers instead.

Likely, at a fair price

We agree with the bookmakers: likely to land, but the odds give no edge
  • Goals O/U 1.5Over 1.5 goals
    Us 77%Books 78% Best odds 1.26 (Betano)

Match result: no bet

Home win
39%
Bookmakers 36%
Draw
28%
Bookmakers 28%
Away win
34%
Bookmakers 37%
Us 39%Bookmakers 36% Fair price Uncertainty ±2.8%

Most likely home win, but we would not bet on it: only 39% likely; a bet needs at least 60% (value +3.1% alone is not enough).

  • Home win: 39% against a market price of 36% (+3.1%).

The full reasoning, 20 more markets and 1 version of this pick

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NK Lokomotiva Zagreb vs NK Osijek preview

NK Lokomotiva Zagreb host NK Osijek in the HNL on Sunday 1 November at 17:00 at Stadion Maksimir.

Our model gives NK Lokomotiva Zagreb 39%, the draw 28% and NK Osijek 34%; the bookmakers' prices said 36%, 28% and 37%.

NK Lokomotiva Zagreb have 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats from their last 5 (5 scored, 5 conceded).

NK Osijek have 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats from their last 5 (6 scored, 7 conceded).

In their last 6 meetings NK Lokomotiva Zagreb won 1, NK Osijek won 1 and 4 were drawn, with 1.8 goals a game.

Another call we like: Over 1.5 goals (Goals O/U 1.5) at 77%.

More HNL predictions

All HNL matches

Form and head-to-head

All competitions

NK Lokomotiva Zagreb

DWLLD
  • 24 Oct · A v HNK Gorica 0–0 (xG 0.86–1.39)
  • 17 Oct · H v Istra 1961 2–0 (xG 1.49–0.58)
  • 11 Oct · H v NK Varazdin 0–1 (xG 1.12–1.12)
  • 20 Sep · A v Dinamo Zagreb 2–3 (xG 1.42–1.88)
  • 12 Sep · H v HNK Rijeka 1–1 (xG 0.39–2.01)

NK Osijek

LDLDW
  • 25 Oct · H v Rudes 0–1 (xG 0.62–1.89)
  • 17 Oct · H v HNK Gorica 1–1 (xG 1.74–0.58)
  • 10 Oct · H v Istra 1961 1–3 (xG 0.73–2.58)
  • 19 Sep · A v NK Varazdin 0–0 (xG 0.59–0.81)
  • 12 Sep · H v Dinamo Zagreb 4–2 (xG 2.05–1.90)

Head-to-head

NK Lokomotiva Zagreb 1 · draws 4 · NK Osijek 1, 1.8 goals a game

  • 15 Aug 2026 · NK Osijek 1–0 NK Lokomotiva Zagreb (HNL)
  • 25 Apr 2026 · NK Osijek 0–0 NK Lokomotiva Zagreb (HNL)
  • 21 Feb 2026 · NK Lokomotiva Zagreb 3–1 NK Osijek (HNL)
  • 23 Nov 2025 · NK Osijek 1–1 NK Lokomotiva Zagreb (HNL)
  • 31 Aug 2025 · NK Lokomotiva Zagreb 1–1 NK Osijek (HNL)
  • 9 May 2025 · NK Osijek 1–1 NK Lokomotiva Zagreb (HNL)