HNK Rijeka vs NK Varazdin prediction
Sun 1 Nov, 14:00
Stadion HNK Rijeka
No bet worth taking on this match. None of its markets beats the bookmakers' price by more than our own uncertainty, so we stand aside. The likely outcomes below agree with the bookmakers instead.
Likely, at a fair price
We agree with the bookmakers: likely to land, but the odds give no edge-
Goals O/U 3.5Under 3.5 goalsUs 73%Books 71% Best odds 1.35 (Betano)
Match result: no bet
Home win
52%
Bookmakers 55%
Draw
27%
Bookmakers 25%
Away win
21%
Bookmakers 21%
Us 52%Bookmakers 55%
Odds too short
Uncertainty ±2.2%
Most likely home win, but we would not bet on it: only 52% likely; a bet needs at least 60%.
- Home win: 52% against a market price of 55% (-2.8%).
The full reasoning, 20 more markets and 2 versions of this pick
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HNK Rijeka vs NK Varazdin preview
HNK Rijeka host NK Varazdin in the HNL on Sunday 1 November at 14:00 at Stadion HNK Rijeka.
Our model gives HNK Rijeka 52%, the draw 27% and NK Varazdin 21%; the bookmakers' prices said 55%, 25% and 21%.
HNK Rijeka have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats from their last 5 (8 scored, 8 conceded).
NK Varazdin have 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats from their last 5 (4 scored, 5 conceded).
In their last 6 meetings HNK Rijeka won 2, NK Varazdin won 4 and 0 were drawn, with 2.0 goals a game.
Another call we like: Under 3.5 goals (Goals O/U 3.5) at 73%.
More HNL predictions
All HNL matches- Fri 30 Oct, 17:00 NK Slaven Belupo vs Istra 1961 NK Slaven Belupo win 41% @ 2.24
- Sat 31 Oct, 14:00 HNK Hajduk Split vs HNK Gorica HNK Hajduk Split win 73% @ 1.33
- Sat 31 Oct, 17:00 Rudes vs Dinamo Zagreb Dinamo Zagreb win 76% @ 1.25
- Sun 1 Nov, 17:00 NK Lokomotiva Zagreb vs NK Osijek NK Lokomotiva Zagreb win 39% @ 2.70
Form and head-to-head
All competitionsHNK Rijeka
LWLWD
- 27 Oct · A v Dinamo Zagreb 1–2 (xG 0.42–1.54)
- 16 Oct · A v Rudes 2–1 (xG 1.10–0.71)
- 11 Oct · A v NK Slaven Belupo 1–4 (xG 2.12–1.81)
- 20 Sep · H v HNK Hajduk Split 3–0 (xG 1.46–1.28)
- 12 Sep · A v NK Lokomotiva Zagreb 1–1 (xG 2.01–0.39)
NK Varazdin
LLWDD
- 24 Oct · H v NK Slaven Belupo 1–2 (xG 1.54–0.62)
- 18 Oct · A v HNK Hajduk Split 0–1 (xG 1.25–1.43)
- 11 Oct · A v NK Lokomotiva Zagreb 1–0 (xG 1.12–1.12)
- 19 Sep · H v NK Osijek 0–0 (xG 0.81–0.59)
- 14 Sep · A v HNK Gorica 2–2 (xG 1.55–0.85)
Head-to-head
HNK Rijeka 2 · draws 0 · NK Varazdin 4, 2.0 goals a game
- 16 Aug 2026 · NK Varazdin 2–0 HNK Rijeka (HNL)
- 22 Apr 2026 · NK Varazdin 1–0 HNK Rijeka (HNL)
- 14 Feb 2026 · HNK Rijeka 3–1 NK Varazdin (HNL)
- 9 Nov 2025 · NK Varazdin 1–0 HNK Rijeka (HNL)
- 24 Aug 2025 · HNK Rijeka 1–2 NK Varazdin (HNL)
- 13 Apr 2025 · HNK Rijeka 1–0 NK Varazdin (HNL)