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Lorient vs Stade Brestois 29 prediction

Sat 31 Oct, 19:45 Stade du Moustoir
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Bets on this match

Best expected value first, at the best price we found
  • Goals O/U 1.5Over 1.5 goalsBanker
    Us 74%Books 73% Beats the odds Best odds 1.36 (Betano)

Likely, at a fair price

We agree with the bookmakers: likely to land, but the odds give no edge
  • Goals O/U 3.5Under 3.5 goals
    Us 72%Books 74% Best odds 1.32 (1xBet)

Match result: no bet

Home win
42%
Bookmakers 39%
Draw
27%
Bookmakers 28%
Away win
31%
Bookmakers 32%
Us 42%Bookmakers 39% Fair price Uncertainty ±1.8%

Most likely home win, but we would not bet on it: only 42% likely; a bet needs at least 60% (value +2.6% alone is not enough).

  • Home win: 42% against a market price of 39% (+2.6%).

The full reasoning, 20 more markets and 1 version of this pick

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Lorient vs Stade Brestois 29 preview

Lorient host Stade Brestois 29 in the Ligue 1 on Saturday 31 October at 19:45 at Stade du Moustoir.

Our model gives Lorient 42%, the draw 27% and Stade Brestois 29 31%; the bookmakers' prices said 39%, 28% and 32%.

Lorient have 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat from their last 5 (5 scored, 4 conceded).

Stade Brestois 29 have 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats from their last 5 (8 scored, 7 conceded).

In their last 2 meetings Lorient won 0, Stade Brestois 29 won 1 and 1 was drawn, with 4.0 goals a game.

Another call we like: Over 1.5 goals (Goals O/U 1.5) at 74%.

More Ligue 1 predictions

All Ligue 1 matches

Form and head-to-head

All competitions

Lorient

DWWLD
  • 25 Oct · A v Angers 0–0 (xG 0.60–0.36)
  • 18 Oct · H v Monaco 1–0 (xG 1.66–0.71)
  • 10 Oct · H v Paris FC 1–0 (xG 0.60–0.99)
  • 19 Sep · A v Le Mans 1–2 (xG 0.97–0.92)
  • 12 Sep · H v Toulouse 2–2 (xG 0.93–1.63)

Stade Brestois 29

LDWLL
  • 23 Oct · H v Nice 1–2 (xG 2.57–0.50)
  • 17 Oct · A v Lille 1–1 (xG 0.84–2.25)
  • 10 Oct · H v Angers 5–1 (xG 3.82–1.39)
  • 20 Sep · A v Auxerre 1–2 (xG 0.34–0.96)
  • 13 Sep · H v Paris Saint Germain 0–1 (xG 1.24–1.16)

Head-to-head

Lorient 0 · draws 1 · Stade Brestois 29 1, 4.0 goals a game

  • 7 Feb 2026 · Stade Brestois 29 2–0 Lorient (Ligue 1)
  • 19 Oct 2025 · Lorient 3–3 Stade Brestois 29 (Ligue 1)