Estac Troyes vs Le Mans prediction

19:45

Sat 31 Oct, 19:45 Stade de l'Aube

No bet worth taking on this match. None of its markets beats the bookmakers' price by more than our own uncertainty, so we stand aside. The likely outcomes below agree with the bookmakers instead.

Likely, at a fair price

We agree with the bookmakers: likely to land, but the odds give no edge

Goals O/U 1.5Over 1.5 goals

Us 78%Books 76% Best odds 1.27 (Betano)

Match result: no bet

Home win

42%

Bookmakers 42%

Draw

26%

Bookmakers 27%

Away win

32%

Bookmakers 31%

Us 42%Bookmakers 42% Fair price Uncertainty ±2.2%

Most likely home win, but we would not bet on it: only 42% likely; a bet needs at least 60% (value +0.4% alone is not enough).

Home win: 42% against a market price of 42% (+0.4%).

The full reasoning, 20 more markets and 1 version of this pick

Join free to open them

Already a member? Sign in

Estac Troyes vs Le Mans preview

Estac Troyes host Le Mans in the Ligue 1 on Saturday 31 October at 19:45 at Stade de l'Aube.

Our model gives Estac Troyes 42%, the draw 26% and Le Mans 32%; the bookmakers' prices said 42%, 27% and 31%.

Estac Troyes have 0 wins, 1 draw and 4 defeats from their last 5 (1 scored, 9 conceded).

Le Mans have 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats from their last 5 (6 scored, 10 conceded).

In their last 2 meetings Estac Troyes won 0, Le Mans won 1 and 1 was drawn, with 3.0 goals a game.

Another call we like: Over 1.5 goals (Goals O/U 1.5) at 78%.

More Ligue 1 predictions

All Ligue 1 matches

Fri 30 Oct, 18:00 Le Havre vs Paris Saint Germain Paris Saint Germain win 79% @ 1.26
Fri 30 Oct, 18:00 Nice vs Rennes Rennes win 43% @ 2.53
Fri 30 Oct, 20:05 Lille vs Lens Lille win 41% @ 2.55
Sat 31 Oct, 19:45 Lyon vs Angers Lyon win 69% @ 1.44
Sat 31 Oct, 19:45 Lorient vs Stade Brestois 29 Lorient win 42% @ 2.50

Form and head-to-head

All competitions

Estac Troyes

DLLLL

25 Oct · A v Toulouse 0–0 (xG 0.41–0.88)
17 Oct · H v Lens 1–3 (xG 1.27–1.45)
11 Oct · H v Marseille 0–2 (xG 1.06–1.30)
19 Sep · A v Angers 0–2 (xG 1.02–2.25)
13 Sep · A v Lille 0–2 (xG 0.38–1.65)

Le Mans

DLLWD

25 Oct · A v Auxerre 1–1 (xG 1.43–0.91)
16 Oct · H v Toulouse 0–3 (xG 0.98–1.83)
10 Oct · A v Paris Saint Germain 1–3 (xG 1.43–4.25)
19 Sep · H v Lorient 2–1 (xG 0.92–0.97)
13 Sep · H v Lens 2–2 (xG 2.59–1.62)

Head-to-head

Estac Troyes 0 · draws 1 · Le Mans 1, 3.0 goals a game

31 Jan 2026 · Estac Troyes 0–2 Le Mans (Ligue 2)
3 Oct 2025 · Le Mans 2–2 Estac Troyes (Ligue 2)