Lech Poznan vs Wisla Krakow prediction
Sat 31 Oct, 16:30
Stadion Poznan
No bet worth taking on this match. None of its markets beats the bookmakers' price by more than our own uncertainty, so we stand aside. The likely outcomes below agree with the bookmakers instead.
Likely, at a fair price
We agree with the bookmakers: likely to land, but the odds give no edge-
Goals O/U 1.5Over 1.5 goalsUs 84%Books 85% Best odds 1.15 (Pinnacle)
Match result: no bet
Home win
56%
Bookmakers 55%
Draw
22%
Bookmakers 23%
Away win
22%
Bookmakers 22%
Us 56%Bookmakers 55%
Fair price
Uncertainty ±2.1%
Most likely home win, but we would not bet on it: only 56% likely; a bet needs at least 60% (value +1.3% alone is not enough).
- Home win: 56% against a market price of 55% (+1.3%).
The full reasoning, 20 more markets and 1 version of this pick
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Lech Poznan vs Wisla Krakow preview
Lech Poznan host Wisla Krakow in the Ekstraklasa on Saturday 31 October at 16:30 at Stadion Poznan.
Our model gives Lech Poznan 56%, the draw 22% and Wisla Krakow 22%; the bookmakers' prices said 55%, 23% and 22%.
Lech Poznan have 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat from their last 5 (13 scored, 8 conceded).
Wisla Krakow have 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat from their last 5 (6 scored, 4 conceded).
Another call we like: Over 1.5 goals (Goals O/U 1.5) at 84%.
More Ekstraklasa predictions
All Ekstraklasa matches- Fri 30 Oct, 17:00 Cracovia Krakow vs Motor Lublin Cracovia Krakow win 46% @ 2.16
- Fri 30 Oct, 19:30 Gornik Zabrze vs Legia Warszawa Gornik Zabrze win 47% @ 2.15
- Sat 31 Oct, 11:15 Wisla Plock vs Piast Gliwice Wisla Plock win 45% @ 2.12
- Sat 31 Oct, 13:45 Wieczysta Kraków vs Jagiellonia Wieczysta Kraków win 43% @ 2.21
- Sat 31 Oct, 19:15 GKS Katowice vs Widzew Łódź GKS Katowice win 48% @ 2.15
Form and head-to-head
All competitionsLech Poznan
WDWLW
- 25 Oct · A v Legia Warszawa 2–1 (xG 1.30–1.54)
- 22 Oct · H v Sunderland 1–1 (xG 2.68–2.99)
- 18 Oct · H v Korona Kielce 6–1 (xG 2.32–1.25)
- 15 Oct · H v Bayer Leverkusen 0–4 (xG 0.57–5.22)
- 10 Oct · A v Slask Wroclaw 4–1 (xG 2.04–0.84)
Wisla Krakow
WDLWW
- 24 Oct · H v Raków Częstochowa 2–1 (xG 1.09–2.02)
- 16 Oct · A v Widzew Łódź 0–0 (xG 2.56–0.66)
- 11 Oct · A v Legia Warszawa 0–2 (xG 0.83–1.32)
- 18 Sep · H v Slask Wroclaw 2–1 (xG 2.51–0.75)
- 11 Sep · H v Jagiellonia 2–0 (xG 1.68–0.24)
Head-to-head
No previous meeting stored.