Wieczysta Kraków vs Jagiellonia prediction
Sat 31 Oct, 13:45
Synerise Arena - Stadion Miejski im. Henryka Reymana
No bet worth taking on this match. None of its markets beats the bookmakers' price by more than our own uncertainty, so we stand aside. The likely outcomes below agree with the bookmakers instead.
Likely, at a fair price
We agree with the bookmakers: likely to land, but the odds give no edge-
Goals O/U 1.5Over 1.5 goalsUs 84%Books 85% Best odds 1.16 (Betano)
Match result: no bet
Home win
43%
Bookmakers 44%
Draw
25%
Bookmakers 24%
Away win
32%
Bookmakers 32%
Us 43%Bookmakers 44%
Fair price
Uncertainty ±2.6%
Most likely home win, but we would not bet on it: only 43% likely; a bet needs at least 60%.
- Home win: 43% against a market price of 44% (-0.6%).
The full reasoning, 20 more markets and 1 version of this pick
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Wieczysta Kraków vs Jagiellonia preview
Wieczysta Kraków host Jagiellonia in the Ekstraklasa on Saturday 31 October at 13:45 at Synerise Arena - Stadion Miejski im. Henryka Reymana.
Our model gives Wieczysta Kraków 43%, the draw 25% and Jagiellonia 32%; the bookmakers' prices said 44%, 24% and 32%.
Wieczysta Kraków have 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats from their last 5 (7 scored, 8 conceded).
Jagiellonia have 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats from their last 5 (5 scored, 8 conceded).
Another call we like: Over 1.5 goals (Goals O/U 1.5) at 84%.
More Ekstraklasa predictions
All Ekstraklasa matches- Fri 30 Oct, 17:00 Cracovia Krakow vs Motor Lublin Cracovia Krakow win 46% @ 2.16
- Fri 30 Oct, 19:30 Gornik Zabrze vs Legia Warszawa Gornik Zabrze win 47% @ 2.15
- Sat 31 Oct, 11:15 Wisla Plock vs Piast Gliwice Wisla Plock win 45% @ 2.12
- Sat 31 Oct, 16:30 Lech Poznan vs Wisla Krakow Lech Poznan win 56% @ 1.75
- Sat 31 Oct, 19:15 GKS Katowice vs Widzew Łódź GKS Katowice win 48% @ 2.15
Form and head-to-head
All competitionsWieczysta Kraków
LLLWD
- 25 Oct · A v Slask Wroclaw 0–2 (xG 1.69–2.85)
- 16 Oct · H v Raków Częstochowa 1–2 (xG 1.57–2.68)
- 12 Oct · A v GKS Katowice 1–2 (xG 2.57–0.90)
- 9 Oct · H v Wisla Plock 3–0 (xG 1.83–0.57)
- 18 Sep · A v Widzew Łódź 2–2 (xG 2.27–1.14)
Jagiellonia
WLLWL
- 25 Oct · H v Wisla Plock 1–0 (xG 1.81–1.01)
- 22 Oct · H v Anderlecht 0–3 (xG 0.29–1.06)
- 18 Oct · A v Zaglebie Lubin 0–1 (xG 1.46–1.96)
- 15 Oct · H v Ararat-Armenia 3–1 (xG 2.10–1.02)
- 10 Oct · H v Gornik Zabrze 1–3 (xG 0.59–2.12)
Head-to-head
No previous meeting stored.