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JEF United Chiba vs Avispa Fukuoka prediction

Sun 1 Nov, 05:00 Fukuda Denshi Arena
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No bet worth taking on this match. None of its markets beats the bookmakers' price by more than our own uncertainty, so we stand aside. The likely outcomes below agree with the bookmakers instead.

Likely, at a fair price

We agree with the bookmakers: likely to land, but the odds give no edge
  • Goals O/U 3.5Under 3.5 goals
    Us 78%Books 77% Best odds 1.27 (Betano)

Match result: no bet

Home win
33%
Bookmakers 31%
Draw
28%
Bookmakers 29%
Away win
38%
Bookmakers 41%
Us 38%Bookmakers 41% Odds too short Uncertainty ±1.8%

Most likely away win, but we would not bet on it: only 38% likely; a bet needs at least 60%.

  • Away win: 38% against a market price of 41% (-2.7%).

The full reasoning, 20 more markets and 2 versions of this pick

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JEF United Chiba vs Avispa Fukuoka preview

JEF United Chiba host Avispa Fukuoka in the J1 League on Sunday 1 November at 05:00 at Fukuda Denshi Arena.

Our model gives JEF United Chiba 33%, the draw 28% and Avispa Fukuoka 38%; the bookmakers' prices said 31%, 29% and 41%.

JEF United Chiba have 0 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats from their last 5 (6 scored, 8 conceded).

Avispa Fukuoka have 1 win, 0 draws and 4 defeats from their last 5 (4 scored, 10 conceded).

In their last 2 meetings JEF United Chiba won 0, Avispa Fukuoka won 1 and 1 was drawn, with 3.5 goals a game.

Another call we like: Under 3.5 goals (Goals O/U 3.5) at 78%.

More J1 League predictions

All J1 League matches

Form and head-to-head

All competitions

JEF United Chiba

DLDDL
  • 25 Oct · A v Cerezo Osaka 2–2 (xG 1.49–1.59)
  • 21 Oct · A v Urawa 2–3 (xG 1.58–1.31)
  • 17 Oct · H v Yokohama F. Marinos 0–0 (xG 0.74–0.76)
  • 11 Oct · H v V-varen Nagasaki 1–1 (xG 2.79–0.62)
  • 19 Sep · A v Shimizu S-pulse 1–2

Avispa Fukuoka

LLLWL
  • 24 Oct · A v Tokyo Verdy 1–3 (xG 1.20–1.22)
  • 21 Oct · H v Gamba Osaka 1–2 (xG 0.76–0.60)
  • 18 Oct · A v Machida Zelvia 0–3 (xG 0.76–1.72)
  • 10 Oct · H v Fagiano Okayama 2–1 (xG 1.34–1.21)
  • 19 Sep · H v Sanfrecce Hiroshima 0–1

Head-to-head

JEF United Chiba 0 · draws 1 · Avispa Fukuoka 1, 3.5 goals a game

  • 6 Jun 2026 · JEF United Chiba 1–2 Avispa Fukuoka (J1 League)
  • 30 May 2026 · Avispa Fukuoka 2–2 JEF United Chiba (J1 League)