Bournemouth vs Leeds prediction

15:00

Sat 31 Oct, 15:00 Vitality Stadium

No bet worth taking on this match. None of its markets beats the bookmakers' price by more than our own uncertainty, so we stand aside. The likely outcomes below agree with the bookmakers instead.

Likely, at a fair price

We agree with the bookmakers: likely to land, but the odds give no edge

Goals O/U 1.5Over 1.5 goals

Us 77%Books 76% Best odds 1.30 (Betano)

Match result: no bet

Home win

48%

Bookmakers 46%

Draw

27%

Bookmakers 28%

Away win

24%

Bookmakers 27%

Us 48%Bookmakers 46% Fair price Uncertainty ±1.8%

Most likely home win, but we would not bet on it: only 48% likely; a bet needs at least 60% (value +2.9% alone is not enough).

Home win: 48% against a market price of 46% (+2.9%).

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Bournemouth vs Leeds preview

Bournemouth host Leeds in the Premier League on Saturday 31 October at 15:00 at Vitality Stadium.

Our model gives Bournemouth 48%, the draw 27% and Leeds 24%; the bookmakers' prices said 46%, 28% and 27%.

Bournemouth have 5 wins, 0 draws and 0 defeats from their last 5 (14 scored, 0 conceded).

Leeds have 1 win, 3 draws and 1 defeat from their last 5 (6 scored, 4 conceded).

In their last 2 meetings Bournemouth won 0, Leeds won 0 and 2 were drawn, with 4.0 goals a game.

Another call we like: Over 1.5 goals (Goals O/U 1.5) at 77%.

More Premier League predictions

All Premier League matches

Sat 31 Oct, 12:30 Chelsea vs Manchester United Chelsea win 51% @ 1.90
Sat 31 Oct, 15:00 Manchester City vs Brighton Manchester City win 59% @ 1.67
Sat 31 Oct, 15:00 Brentford vs Nottingham Forest Brentford win 47% @ 2.09
Sat 31 Oct, 15:00 Hull City vs Ipswich Hull City win 37% @ 2.73
Sat 31 Oct, 15:00 Coventry vs Sunderland Sunderland win 38% @ 2.46
Sat 31 Oct, 17:30 Tottenham vs Crystal Palace Tottenham win 55% @ 1.58

Form and head-to-head

All competitions

Bournemouth

WWWWW

28 Oct · H v Aston Villa 3–0 (xG 2.75–1.67)
25 Oct · A v Manchester United 3–0 (xG 2.21–1.17)
22 Oct · H v AC Milan 3–0 (xG 3.22–0.17)
18 Oct · H v Sunderland 2–0 (xG 4.40–0.13)
15 Oct · H v Sturm Graz 3–0 (xG 2.88–0.37)

Leeds

DDLDW

25 Oct · A v Sunderland 0–0 (xG 0.81–0.91)
18 Oct · H v Manchester United 1–1 (xG 1.48–0.93)
10 Oct · A v Arsenal 1–2 (xG 0.62–2.33)
20 Sep · H v Crystal Palace 0–0 (xG 1.31–1.06)
14 Sep · H v Newcastle 4–1 (xG 2.08–0.88)

Head-to-head

Bournemouth 0 · draws 2 · Leeds 0, 4.0 goals a game

22 Apr 2026 · Bournemouth 2–2 Leeds (Premier League)
27 Sep 2025 · Leeds 2–2 Bournemouth (Premier League)