Chelsea vs Manchester United prediction
Bets on this match
Best expected value first, at the best price we found-
Goals O/U 3.5Under 3.5 goalsValueUs 64%Books 60% Beats the odds Best odds 1.65 (1xBet)
Likely, at a fair price
We agree with the bookmakers: likely to land, but the odds give no edge-
Goals O/U 1.5Over 1.5 goalsUs 80%Books 83% Best odds 1.19 (Betano)
Match result: no bet
Most likely home win, but we would not bet on it: only 51% likely; a bet needs at least 60%.
- Home win: 51% against a market price of 53% (-2.2%).
The full reasoning, 20 more markets and 1 version of this pick
Join free to open themChelsea vs Manchester United preview
Chelsea host Manchester United in the Premier League on Saturday 31 October at 12:30 at Stamford Bridge.
Our model gives Chelsea 51%, the draw 25% and Manchester United 25%; the bookmakers' prices said 53%, 24% and 23%.
Chelsea have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats from their last 5 (8 scored, 7 conceded).
Manchester United have 0 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats from their last 5 (3 scored, 11 conceded).
In their last 4 meetings Chelsea won 1, Manchester United won 2 and 1 was drawn, with 1.8 goals a game.
Another call we like: Under 3.5 goals (Goals O/U 3.5) at 64%.
More Premier League predictions
All Premier League matches- Sat 31 Oct, 15:00 Bournemouth vs Leeds Bournemouth win 48% @ 2.18
- Sat 31 Oct, 15:00 Manchester City vs Brighton Manchester City win 59% @ 1.67
- Sat 31 Oct, 15:00 Brentford vs Nottingham Forest Brentford win 47% @ 2.09
- Sat 31 Oct, 15:00 Hull City vs Ipswich Hull City win 37% @ 2.73
- Sat 31 Oct, 15:00 Coventry vs Sunderland Sunderland win 38% @ 2.46
- Sat 31 Oct, 17:30 Tottenham vs Crystal Palace Tottenham win 55% @ 1.58
Form and head-to-head
All competitionsChelsea
- 28 Oct · A v Liverpool 1–1 (xG 1.88–2.19)
- 24 Oct · H v Tottenham 0–2 (xG 0.55–0.80)
- 17 Oct · A v Everton 2–0 (xG 1.59–0.54)
- 10 Oct · H v Bournemouth 5–1 (xG 1.10–1.38)
- 18 Sep · A v Brentford 0–3 (xG 0.83–2.65)
Manchester United
- 25 Oct · H v Bournemouth 0–3 (xG 1.17–2.21)
- 21 Oct · A v Como 1–4 (xG 1.11–2.12)
- 18 Oct · A v Leeds 1–1 (xG 0.93–1.48)
- 13 Oct · A v Atletico Madrid 0–2 (xG 0.98–1.47)
- 10 Oct · H v Tottenham 1–1 (xG 0.80–1.62)
Head-to-head
Chelsea 1 · draws 1 · Manchester United 2, 1.8 goals a game
- 18 Apr 2026 · Chelsea 0–1 Manchester United (Premier League)
- 20 Sep 2025 · Manchester United 2–1 Chelsea (Premier League)
- 16 May 2025 · Chelsea 1–0 Manchester United (Premier League)
- 3 Nov 2024 · Manchester United 1–1 Chelsea (Premier League)