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Coventry vs Sunderland prediction

Sat 31 Oct, 15:00 Coventry Building Society Arena
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No bet worth taking on this match. None of its markets beats the bookmakers' price by more than our own uncertainty, so we stand aside. The likely outcomes below agree with the bookmakers instead.

Likely, at a fair price

We agree with the bookmakers: likely to land, but the odds give no edge
  • Goals O/U 1.5Over 1.5 goals
    Us 74%Books 75% Best odds 1.31 (Pinnacle)

Match result: no bet

Home win
34%
Bookmakers 31%
Draw
28%
Bookmakers 28%
Away win
38%
Bookmakers 41%
Us 38%Bookmakers 41% Odds too short Uncertainty ±4.3%

Most likely away win, but we would not bet on it: only 38% likely; a bet needs at least 60%.

  • Away win: 38% against a market price of 41% (-2.8%).

The full reasoning, 20 more markets and 1 version of this pick

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Coventry vs Sunderland preview

Coventry host Sunderland in the Premier League on Saturday 31 October at 15:00 at Coventry Building Society Arena.

Our model gives Coventry 34%, the draw 28% and Sunderland 38%; the bookmakers' prices said 31%, 28% and 41%.

Coventry have 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats from their last 5 (7 scored, 8 conceded).

Sunderland have 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat from their last 5 (6 scored, 6 conceded).

In their last 4 meetings Coventry won 1, Sunderland won 1 and 2 were drawn, with 3.0 goals a game.

Another call we like: Over 1.5 goals (Goals O/U 1.5) at 74%.

More Premier League predictions

All Premier League matches

Form and head-to-head

All competitions

Coventry

LLWWL
  • 24 Oct · H v Fulham 0–1 (xG 0.58–0.61)
  • 19 Oct · A v Tottenham 1–3 (xG 0.83–0.90)
  • 12 Oct · H v Newcastle 4–1 (xG 1.52–1.85)
  • 19 Sep · A v Nottingham Forest 1–0 (xG 0.67–1.10)
  • 16 Sep · H v Aston Villa 1–3

Sunderland

WDDLW
  • 28 Oct · H v Brentford 3–2 (xG 2.41–2.77)
  • 25 Oct · H v Leeds 0–0 (xG 0.91–0.81)
  • 22 Oct · A v Lech Poznan 1–1 (xG 2.99–2.68)
  • 18 Oct · A v Bournemouth 0–2 (xG 0.13–4.40)
  • 15 Oct · A v Torreense 2–1 (xG 1.82–0.08)

Head-to-head

Coventry 1 · draws 2 · Sunderland 1, 3.0 goals a game

  • 13 May 2025 · Sunderland 1–1 Coventry (Championship)
  • 9 May 2025 · Coventry 1–2 Sunderland (Championship)
  • 15 Mar 2025 · Coventry 3–0 Sunderland (Championship)
  • 9 Nov 2024 · Sunderland 2–2 Coventry (Championship)