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Baltika vs Akron prediction

14:30
Sun 1 Nov, 14:30 Rostec Arena
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No bet worth taking on this match. None of its markets beats the bookmakers' price by more than our own uncertainty, so we stand aside. The likely outcomes below agree with the bookmakers instead.

Likely, at a fair price

We agree with the bookmakers: likely to land, but the odds give no edge
  • Goals O/U 3.5Under 3.5 goals
    Us 77%Books 78% Best odds 1.25 (Pinnacle)

Match result: no bet

Home win
53%
Bookmakers 56%
Draw
26%
Bookmakers 26%
Away win
20%
Bookmakers 19%
Us 53%Bookmakers 56% Odds too short Uncertainty ±2.3%

Most likely home win, but we would not bet on it: only 53% likely; a bet needs at least 60%.

  • Home win: 53% against a market price of 56% (-2.4%).

The full reasoning, 20 more markets and 2 versions of this pick

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Baltika vs Akron preview

Baltika host Akron in the Premier League on Sunday 1 November at 14:30 at Rostec Arena.

Our model gives Baltika 53%, the draw 26% and Akron 20%; the bookmakers' prices said 56%, 26% and 19%.

Baltika have 1 win, 3 draws and 1 defeat from their last 5 (5 scored, 4 conceded).

Akron have 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats from their last 5 (6 scored, 10 conceded).

In their last 4 meetings Baltika won 2, Akron won 2 and 0 were drawn, with 2.2 goals a game.

Another call we like: Under 3.5 goals (Goals O/U 3.5) at 77%.

More Premier League predictions

All Premier League matches

Form and head-to-head

All competitions

Baltika

LDDWD
  • 29 Oct · H v Zenit 2–3
  • 24 Oct · A v FC Krasnodar 1–1 (xG 0.83–0.92)
  • 18 Oct · H v FC Rostov 0–0 (xG 0.59–0.93)
  • 14 Oct · A v Krylia Sovetov 2–0
  • 11 Oct · A v Akhmat 0–0

Akron

LWDDL
  • 28 Oct · A v FC Rostov 1–6
  • 24 Oct · H v Dynamo 3–1 (xG 0.86–2.14)
  • 17 Oct · A v Dinamo Makhachkala 1–1 (xG 0.91–1.60)
  • 13 Oct · A v Lokomotiv 1–1
  • 9 Oct · A v FC Rostov 0–1

Head-to-head

Baltika 2 · draws 0 · Akron 2, 2.3 goals a game

  • 27 Apr 2026 · Baltika 0–1 Akron (Premier League)
  • 1 Oct 2025 · Baltika 3–0 Akron (Cup)
  • 31 Aug 2025 · Akron 0–2 Baltika (Premier League)
  • 29 Jul 2025 · Akron 2–1 Baltika (Cup)