Lokomotiv vs Spartak Moscow prediction

16:45

Sun 1 Nov, 16:45 RZD Arena

No bet worth taking on this match. None of its markets beats the bookmakers' price by more than our own uncertainty, so we stand aside. The likely outcomes below agree with the bookmakers instead.

Likely, at a fair price

We agree with the bookmakers: likely to land, but the odds give no edge

Goals O/U 1.5Over 1.5 goals

Us 80%Books 80% Best odds 1.20 (Pinnacle)

Match result: no bet

Home win

23%

Bookmakers 21%

Draw

25%

Bookmakers 24%

Away win

52%

Bookmakers 55%

Us 52%Bookmakers 55% Odds too short Uncertainty ±1.8%

Most likely away win, but we would not bet on it: only 52% likely; a bet needs at least 60%.

Away win: 52% against a market price of 55% (-2.8%).

The full reasoning, 20 more markets and 1 version of this pick

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Lokomotiv vs Spartak Moscow preview

Lokomotiv host Spartak Moscow in the Premier League on Sunday 1 November at 16:45 at RZD Arena.

Our model gives Lokomotiv 23%, the draw 25% and Spartak Moscow 52%; the bookmakers' prices said 21%, 24% and 55%.

Lokomotiv have 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats from their last 5 (10 scored, 9 conceded).

Spartak Moscow have 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat from their last 5 (10 scored, 5 conceded).

In their last 6 meetings Lokomotiv won 2, Spartak Moscow won 4 and 0 were drawn, with 4.8 goals a game.

Another call we like: Over 1.5 goals (Goals O/U 1.5) at 80%.

More Premier League predictions

All Premier League matches

Sat 31 Oct, 12:15 Rubin vs Fakel Rubin win 42% @ 2.06
Sat 31 Oct, 14:30 Dynamo vs Akhmat Dynamo win 64% @ 1.54
Sat 31 Oct, 16:45 Rodina Moskva vs FC Krasnodar FC Krasnodar win 56% @ 1.75
Sun 1 Nov, 10:00 FC Orenburg vs CSKA Moscow CSKA Moscow win 40% @ 2.27
Sun 1 Nov, 12:15 Dinamo Makhachkala vs FC Rostov FC Rostov win 41% @ 2.44
Sun 1 Nov, 14:30 Baltika vs Akron Baltika win 53% @ 1.80

Form and head-to-head

All competitions

Lokomotiv

LLDDW

29 Oct · A v CSKA Moscow 1–3
25 Oct · A v FC Rostov 0–2 (xG 0.91–1.62)
17 Oct · H v FC Krasnodar 3–3 (xG 2.10–1.37)
13 Oct · H v Akron 1–1
10 Oct · A v Fakel 5–0

Spartak Moscow

WLWWD

28 Oct · H v Rubin 1–0
25 Oct · A v CSKA Moscow 0–2 (xG 1.97–1.69)
18 Oct · H v Rubin 4–0 (xG 3.39–0.32)
15 Oct · A v Rodina Moskva 4–2
10 Oct · A v Krylia Sovetov 1–1

Head-to-head

Lokomotiv 2 · draws 0 · Spartak Moscow 4, 4.8 goals a game

5 Apr 2026 · Spartak Moscow 2–1 Lokomotiv (Premier League)
26 Nov 2025 · Lokomotiv 2–3 Spartak Moscow (Cup)
6 Nov 2025 · Spartak Moscow 3–1 Lokomotiv (Cup)
9 Aug 2025 · Lokomotiv 4–2 Spartak Moscow (Premier League)
23 Nov 2024 · Spartak Moscow 5–2 Lokomotiv (Premier League)
28 Sep 2024 · Lokomotiv 3–1 Spartak Moscow (Premier League)