Crewe vs Barnet prediction

15:00

Sat 31 Oct, 15:00 Alexandra Stadium H. Blair

No bet worth taking on this match. None of its markets beats the bookmakers' price by more than our own uncertainty, so we stand aside. The likely outcomes below agree with the bookmakers instead.

Likely, at a fair price

We agree with the bookmakers: likely to land, but the odds give no edge

Goals O/U 1.5Over 1.5 goals

Us 81%Books 82% Best odds 1.19 (Betano)

Match result: no bet

Home win

31%

Bookmakers 31%

Draw

25%

Bookmakers 25%

Away win

44%

Bookmakers 44%

Us 44%Bookmakers 44% Fair price Uncertainty ±2.0%

Most likely away win, but we would not bet on it: only 44% likely; a bet needs at least 60% (value +0.4% alone is not enough).

Away win: 44% against a market price of 44% (+0.4%).

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Crewe vs Barnet preview

Crewe host Barnet in the League Two on Saturday 31 October at 15:00 at Alexandra Stadium.

Our model gives Crewe 31%, the draw 25% and Barnet 44%; the bookmakers' prices said 31%, 25% and 44%.

Crewe have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats from their last 5 (7 scored, 11 conceded).

Barnet have 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat from their last 5 (10 scored, 7 conceded).

In their last 2 meetings Crewe won 0, Barnet won 1 and 1 was drawn, with 2.5 goals a game.

Another call we like: Over 1.5 goals (Goals O/U 1.5) at 81%.

More League Two predictions

All League Two matches

Fri 30 Oct, 19:45 Newport County vs Chesterfield Chesterfield win 43% @ 2.07
Sat 31 Oct, 12:30 Port Vale vs Rochdale Port Vale win 56% @ 1.76
Sat 31 Oct, 12:30 Grimsby vs York Grimsby win 42% @ 2.38
Sat 31 Oct, 15:00 Fleetwood Town vs Bristol Rovers Fleetwood Town win 43% @ 2.75
Sat 31 Oct, 15:00 Oldham vs Crawley Town Oldham win 56% @ 1.71
Sat 31 Oct, 15:00 Shrewsbury vs Gillingham Shrewsbury win 47% @ 2.05

Form and head-to-head

All competitions

Crewe

LLWWD

24 Oct · A v Chesterfield 1–5 (xG 0.49–1.87)
20 Oct · A v Exeter City 0–2 (xG 0.70–1.91)
17 Oct · H v Rochdale 3–2 (xG 1.53–0.89)
10 Oct · A v Swindon Town 1–0 (xG 2.00–1.08)
6 Oct · A v Blackpool 2–2

Barnet

WDLWW

27 Oct · H v York 3–1 (xG 1.58–0.71)
24 Oct · H v Oldham 1–1 (xG 1.44–2.51)
20 Oct · H v Swindon Town 1–3 (xG 3.42–1.46)
17 Oct · A v Tranmere 2–1 (xG 2.39–0.96)
10 Oct · A v Bristol Rovers 3–1 (xG 2.65–2.39)

Head-to-head

Crewe 0 · draws 1 · Barnet 1, 2.5 goals a game

3 Feb 2026 · Barnet 1–1 Crewe (League Two)
13 Sep 2025 · Crewe 1–2 Barnet (League Two)