Grimsby vs York prediction
Sat 31 Oct, 12:30
Blundell Park
A. Jackson
No bet worth taking on this match. None of its markets beats the bookmakers' price by more than our own uncertainty, so we stand aside. The likely outcomes below agree with the bookmakers instead.
Likely, at a fair price
We agree with the bookmakers: likely to land, but the odds give no edge-
Goals O/U 1.5Over 1.5 goalsUs 80%Books 81% Best odds 1.21 (Betano)
Match result: no bet
Home win
42%
Bookmakers 41%
Draw
25%
Bookmakers 25%
Away win
32%
Bookmakers 34%
Us 42%Bookmakers 41%
Fair price
Uncertainty ±2.3%
Most likely home win, but we would not bet on it: only 42% likely; a bet needs at least 60% (value +1.8% alone is not enough).
- Home win: 42% against a market price of 41% (+1.8%).
The full reasoning, 20 more markets and 1 version of this pick
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Grimsby vs York preview
Grimsby host York in the League Two on Saturday 31 October at 12:30 at Blundell Park.
Our model gives Grimsby 42%, the draw 25% and York 32%; the bookmakers' prices said 41%, 25% and 34%.
Grimsby have 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats from their last 5 (6 scored, 6 conceded).
York have 1 win, 3 draws and 1 defeat from their last 5 (6 scored, 6 conceded).
Another call we like: Over 1.5 goals (Goals O/U 1.5) at 80%.
More League Two predictions
All League Two matches- Fri 30 Oct, 19:45 Newport County vs Chesterfield Chesterfield win 43% @ 2.07
- Sat 31 Oct, 12:30 Port Vale vs Rochdale Port Vale win 56% @ 1.76
- Sat 31 Oct, 15:00 Fleetwood Town vs Bristol Rovers Fleetwood Town win 43% @ 2.75
- Sat 31 Oct, 15:00 Oldham vs Crawley Town Oldham win 56% @ 1.71
- Sat 31 Oct, 15:00 Shrewsbury vs Gillingham Shrewsbury win 47% @ 2.05
- Sat 31 Oct, 15:00 Swindon Town vs Rotherham Swindon Town win 44% @ 2.40
Form and head-to-head
All competitionsGrimsby
WDLLD
- 24 Oct · A v Gillingham 4–1 (xG 2.94–0.57)
- 20 Oct · A v Rochdale 2–2 (xG 2.39–2.10)
- 17 Oct · H v Northampton 0–2 (xG 2.84–1.66)
- 10 Oct · A v Port Vale 0–1 (xG 0.83–3.06)
- 6 Oct · H v Burton Albion 0–0
York
LWDDD
- 27 Oct · A v Barnet 1–3 (xG 0.71–1.58)
- 24 Oct · H v Port Vale 2–0 (xG 1.21–0.71)
- 20 Oct · H v Accrington ST 1–1 (xG 1.87–1.05)
- 17 Oct · A v Newport County 1–1 (xG 1.09–1.04)
- 10 Oct · H v Northampton 1–1 (xG 2.32–1.03)
Head-to-head
No previous meeting stored.