Swindon Town vs Rotherham prediction

15:00

Sat 31 Oct, 15:00 County Ground I. Searle

No bet worth taking on this match. None of its markets beats the bookmakers' price by more than our own uncertainty, so we stand aside. The likely outcomes below agree with the bookmakers instead.

Likely, at a fair price

We agree with the bookmakers: likely to land, but the odds give no edge

Goals O/U 1.5Over 1.5 goals

Us 80%Books 80% Best odds 1.23 (Betano)

Match result: no bet

Home win

44%

Bookmakers 40%

Draw

25%

Bookmakers 26%

Away win

30%

Bookmakers 33%

Us 44%Bookmakers 40% Fair price Uncertainty ±5.5%

Most likely home win, but we would not bet on it: only 44% likely; a bet needs at least 60% (value +3.8% alone is not enough).

Home win: 44% against a market price of 40% (+3.8%).

The full reasoning, 20 more markets and 1 version of this pick

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Swindon Town vs Rotherham preview

Swindon Town host Rotherham in the League Two on Saturday 31 October at 15:00 at County Ground.

Our model gives Swindon Town 44%, the draw 25% and Rotherham 30%; the bookmakers' prices said 40%, 26% and 33%.

Swindon Town have 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats from their last 5 (4 scored, 4 conceded).

Rotherham have 0 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats from their last 5 (6 scored, 15 conceded).

In their last 1 meeting Swindon Town won 1, Rotherham won 0 and 0 were drawn, with 3.0 goals a game.

Another call we like: Over 1.5 goals (Goals O/U 1.5) at 80%.

More League Two predictions

All League Two matches

Fri 30 Oct, 19:45 Newport County vs Chesterfield Chesterfield win 43% @ 2.07
Sat 31 Oct, 12:30 Port Vale vs Rochdale Port Vale win 56% @ 1.76
Sat 31 Oct, 12:30 Grimsby vs York Grimsby win 42% @ 2.38
Sat 31 Oct, 15:00 Fleetwood Town vs Bristol Rovers Fleetwood Town win 43% @ 2.75
Sat 31 Oct, 15:00 Oldham vs Crawley Town Oldham win 56% @ 1.71
Sat 31 Oct, 15:00 Shrewsbury vs Gillingham Shrewsbury win 47% @ 2.05

Form and head-to-head

All competitions

Swindon Town

DWDLL

24 Oct · A v Bristol Rovers 0–0 (xG 1.83–2.02)
20 Oct · A v Barnet 3–1 (xG 1.46–3.42)
17 Oct · H v Walsall 1–1 (xG 1.91–1.75)
10 Oct · H v Crewe 0–1 (xG 1.08–2.00)
3 Oct · A v Rochdale 0–1 (xG 1.53–2.42)

Rotherham

DDLLL

24 Oct · H v Shrewsbury 3–3 (xG 1.48–2.24)
20 Oct · H v Newport County 2–2 (xG 1.44–1.92)
17 Oct · A v Fleetwood Town 0–2 (xG 1.05–1.67)
10 Oct · H v Gillingham 1–4 (xG 1.16–1.86)
6 Oct · H v Bradford 0–4

Head-to-head

Swindon Town 1 · draws 0 · Rotherham 0, 3.0 goals a game

1 Nov 2025 · Rotherham 1–2 Swindon Town (FA Cup)