Salford City vs Exeter City prediction
Sat 31 Oct, 15:00
Peninsula Stadium
O. Langford
No bet worth taking on this match. None of its markets beats the bookmakers' price by more than our own uncertainty, so we stand aside. The likely outcomes below agree with the bookmakers instead.
Likely, at a fair price
We agree with the bookmakers: likely to land, but the odds give no edge-
Goals O/U 1.5Over 1.5 goalsUs 76%Books 78% Best odds 1.26 (Betano)
Match result: no bet
Home win
56%
Bookmakers 59%
Draw
24%
Bookmakers 23%
Away win
20%
Bookmakers 18%
Us 56%Bookmakers 59%
Odds too short
Uncertainty ±4.2%
Most likely home win, but we would not bet on it: only 56% likely; a bet needs at least 60%.
- Home win: 56% against a market price of 59% (-2.1%).
The full reasoning, 20 more markets and 1 version of this pick
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Salford City vs Exeter City preview
Salford City host Exeter City in the League Two on Saturday 31 October at 15:00 at Peninsula Stadium.
Our model gives Salford City 56%, the draw 24% and Exeter City 20%; the bookmakers' prices said 59%, 23% and 18%.
Salford City have 4 wins, 1 draw and 0 defeats from their last 5 (11 scored, 5 conceded).
Exeter City have 3 wins, 2 draws and 0 defeats from their last 5 (7 scored, 3 conceded).
Another call we like: Over 1.5 goals (Goals O/U 1.5) at 76%.
More League Two predictions
All League Two matches- Fri 30 Oct, 19:45 Newport County vs Chesterfield Chesterfield win 43% @ 2.07
- Sat 31 Oct, 12:30 Port Vale vs Rochdale Port Vale win 56% @ 1.76
- Sat 31 Oct, 12:30 Grimsby vs York Grimsby win 42% @ 2.38
- Sat 31 Oct, 15:00 Fleetwood Town vs Bristol Rovers Fleetwood Town win 43% @ 2.75
- Sat 31 Oct, 15:00 Oldham vs Crawley Town Oldham win 56% @ 1.71
- Sat 31 Oct, 15:00 Shrewsbury vs Gillingham Shrewsbury win 47% @ 2.05
Form and head-to-head
All competitionsSalford City
WWWWD
- 26 Oct · A v Walsall 4–2 (xG 2.37–1.79)
- 20 Oct · A v Bristol Rovers 2–1 (xG 0.70–1.69)
- 17 Oct · H v Crawley Town 2–1 (xG 1.68–0.56)
- 10 Oct · A v Cheltenham 2–0 (xG 1.54–0.16)
- 6 Oct · A v Accrington ST 1–1
Exeter City
WWDWD
- 24 Oct · H v Fleetwood Town 2–1 (xG 1.26–0.90)
- 20 Oct · H v Crewe 2–0 (xG 1.91–0.70)
- 17 Oct · A v Colchester 0–0 (xG 0.30–1.22)
- 10 Oct · A v Shrewsbury 1–0 (xG 1.01–1.96)
- 6 Oct · H v Oxford United 2–2
Head-to-head
No previous meeting stored.