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Catanzaro vs Padova prediction

Sat 31 Oct, 16:15 Stadio Nicola Ceravolo
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No bet worth taking on this match. None of its markets beats the bookmakers' price by more than our own uncertainty, so we stand aside. The likely outcomes below agree with the bookmakers instead.

Likely, at a fair price

We agree with the bookmakers: likely to land, but the odds give no edge
  • Goals O/U 1.5Over 1.5 goals
    Us 80%Books 79% Best odds 1.30 (Betano)

Match result: no bet

Home win
47%
Bookmakers 46%
Draw
26%
Bookmakers 26%
Away win
27%
Bookmakers 28%
Us 47%Bookmakers 46% Fair price Uncertainty ±2.4%

Most likely home win, but we would not bet on it: only 47% likely; a bet needs at least 60% (value +1.2% alone is not enough).

  • Home win: 47% against a market price of 46% (+1.2%).

The full reasoning, 20 more markets and 1 version of this pick

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Catanzaro vs Padova preview

Catanzaro host Padova in the Serie B on Saturday 31 October at 16:15 at Stadio Nicola Ceravolo.

Our model gives Catanzaro 47%, the draw 26% and Padova 27%; the bookmakers' prices said 46%, 26% and 28%.

Catanzaro have 0 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats from their last 5 (6 scored, 14 conceded).

Padova have 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats from their last 5 (5 scored, 6 conceded).

In their last 2 meetings Catanzaro won 1, Padova won 1 and 0 were drawn, with 2.5 goals a game.

Another call we like: Over 1.5 goals (Goals O/U 1.5) at 80%.

More Serie B predictions

All Serie B matches

Form and head-to-head

All competitions

Catanzaro

DLDLL
  • 27 Oct · A v Benevento 1–1 (xG 0.47–2.54)
  • 24 Oct · H v Ascoli 1–6 (xG 1.86–3.93)
  • 16 Oct · A v Hellas Verona 2–2 (xG 1.24–1.97)
  • 11 Oct · H v Mantova 1–3 (xG 0.96–2.73)
  • 19 Sep · A v Sampdoria 1–2 (xG 1.43–2.83)

Padova

WWLLL
  • 27 Oct · H v Sudtirol 2–0 (xG 1.47–1.85)
  • 24 Oct · A v Avellino 1–0 (xG 0.86–2.18)
  • 17 Oct · H v Virtus Entella 1–2 (xG 0.79–1.73)
  • 11 Oct · H v Carrarese 0–2 (xG 0.72–1.63)
  • 19 Sep · A v Palermo 1–2 (xG 1.18–2.51)

Head-to-head

Catanzaro 1 · draws 0 · Padova 1, 2.5 goals a game

  • 14 Mar 2026 · Padova 1–3 Catanzaro (Serie B)
  • 19 Oct 2025 · Catanzaro 0–1 Padova (Serie B)