Cremonese vs Benevento prediction
Sat 31 Oct, 14:00
Stadio Giovanni Zini
No bet worth taking on this match. None of its markets beats the bookmakers' price by more than our own uncertainty, so we stand aside. The likely outcomes below agree with the bookmakers instead.
Likely, at a fair price
We agree with the bookmakers: likely to land, but the odds give no edge-
Goals O/U 1.5Over 1.5 goalsUs 75%Books 74% Best odds 1.34 (Betano)
Match result: no bet
Home win
34%
Bookmakers 34%
Draw
29%
Bookmakers 30%
Away win
37%
Bookmakers 36%
Us 37%Bookmakers 36%
Fair price
Uncertainty ±4.2%
Most likely away win, but we would not bet on it: only 37% likely; a bet needs at least 60% (value +1.6% alone is not enough).
- Away win: 37% against a market price of 36% (+1.6%).
The full reasoning, 20 more markets and 1 version of this pick
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Cremonese vs Benevento preview
Cremonese host Benevento in the Serie B on Saturday 31 October at 14:00 at Stadio Giovanni Zini.
Our model gives Cremonese 34%, the draw 29% and Benevento 37%; the bookmakers' prices said 34%, 30% and 36%.
Cremonese have 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats from their last 5 (3 scored, 4 conceded).
Benevento have 3 wins, 2 draws and 0 defeats from their last 5 (9 scored, 3 conceded).
Another call we like: Over 1.5 goals (Goals O/U 1.5) at 75%.
More Serie B predictions
All Serie B matches- Sat 31 Oct, 14:00 Modena vs Mantova Modena win 52% @ 1.75
- Sat 31 Oct, 14:00 Sudtirol vs Cesena Sudtirol win 42% @ 2.35
- Sat 31 Oct, 16:15 Catanzaro vs Padova Catanzaro win 47% @ 2.10
- Sat 31 Oct, 18:30 Sampdoria vs Virtus Entella Sampdoria win 41% @ 2.36
Form and head-to-head
All competitionsCremonese
WLLDD
- 27 Oct · A v Mantova 2–0 (xG 1.32–1.97)
- 24 Oct · H v Juve Stabia 0–1 (xG 1.63–0.73)
- 17 Oct · A v Pisa 1–3 (xG 0.51–2.39)
- 10 Oct · A v Arezzo 0–0 (xG 0.21–1.01)
- 19 Sep · H v Virtus Entella 0–0 (xG 1.01–1.02)
Benevento
DWDWW
- 27 Oct · H v Catanzaro 1–1 (xG 2.54–0.47)
- 24 Oct · A v Arezzo 3–0 (xG 2.72–0.41)
- 17 Oct · H v Vicenza Virtus 2–2 (xG 2.00–1.23)
- 10 Oct · H v Cesena 2–0 (xG 1.74–0.53)
- 19 Sep · A v Carrarese 1–0 (xG 1.25–0.83)
Head-to-head
No previous meeting stored.