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Modena vs Mantova prediction

14:00
Sat 31 Oct, 14:00 Stadio Alberto Braglia
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No bet worth taking on this match. None of its markets beats the bookmakers' price by more than our own uncertainty, so we stand aside. The likely outcomes below agree with the bookmakers instead.

Likely, at a fair price

We agree with the bookmakers: likely to land, but the odds give no edge
  • Goals O/U 1.5Over 1.5 goals
    Us 79%Books 80% Best odds 1.27 (Betano)

Match result: no bet

Home win
52%
Bookmakers 56%
Draw
25%
Bookmakers 24%
Away win
23%
Bookmakers 20%
Us 52%Bookmakers 56% Odds too short Uncertainty ±2.3%

Most likely home win, but we would not bet on it: only 52% likely; a bet needs at least 60%.

  • Home win: 52% against a market price of 56% (-3.6%).

The full reasoning, 20 more markets and 1 version of this pick

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Modena vs Mantova preview

Modena host Mantova in the Serie B on Saturday 31 October at 14:00 at Stadio Alberto Braglia.

Our model gives Modena 52%, the draw 25% and Mantova 23%; the bookmakers' prices said 56%, 24% and 20%.

Modena have 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeat from their last 5 (11 scored, 6 conceded).

Mantova have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats from their last 5 (6 scored, 7 conceded).

In their last 4 meetings Modena won 3, Mantova won 0 and 1 was drawn, with 2.8 goals a game.

Another call we like: Over 1.5 goals (Goals O/U 1.5) at 79%.

More Serie B predictions

All Serie B matches

Form and head-to-head

All competitions

Modena

WWLWW
  • 27 Oct · A v Vicenza Virtus 2–1 (xG 1.15–0.34)
  • 24 Oct · H v Cesena 3–0 (xG 2.19–0.18)
  • 17 Oct · A v Carrarese 1–2 (xG 1.03–1.78)
  • 11 Oct · H v Hellas Verona 3–2 (xG 2.32–2.04)
  • 20 Sep · H v Empoli 2–1 (xG 1.72–0.71)

Mantova

LWLWD
  • 27 Oct · H v Cremonese 0–2 (xG 1.97–1.32)
  • 24 Oct · A v Virtus Entella 1–0 (xG 1.01–1.37)
  • 17 Oct · H v Palermo 0–2 (xG 1.92–2.00)
  • 11 Oct · A v Catanzaro 3–1 (xG 2.73–0.96)
  • 20 Sep · H v Pisa 2–2 (xG 1.98–2.18)

Head-to-head

Modena 3 · draws 1 · Mantova 0, 2.8 goals a game

  • 21 Mar 2026 · Modena 2–1 Mantova (Serie B)
  • 20 Sep 2025 · Mantova 1–3 Modena (Serie B)
  • 1 Feb 2025 · Modena 3–1 Mantova (Serie B)
  • 30 Nov 2024 · Mantova 0–0 Modena (Serie B)