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Sudtirol vs Cesena prediction

Sat 31 Oct, 14:00 Stadio Marco Druso
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No bet worth taking on this match. None of its markets beats the bookmakers' price by more than our own uncertainty, so we stand aside. The likely outcomes below agree with the bookmakers instead.

Likely, at a fair price

We agree with the bookmakers: likely to land, but the odds give no edge
  • Goals O/U 3.5Under 3.5 goals
    Us 75%Books 76% Best odds 1.29 (Betano)

Match result: no bet

Home win
42%
Bookmakers 42%
Draw
28%
Bookmakers 29%
Away win
29%
Bookmakers 30%
Us 42%Bookmakers 42% Fair price Uncertainty ±2.2%

Most likely home win, but we would not bet on it: only 42% likely; a bet needs at least 60% (value +0.4% alone is not enough).

  • Home win: 42% against a market price of 42% (+0.4%).

The full reasoning, 20 more markets and 1 version of this pick

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Sudtirol vs Cesena preview

Sudtirol host Cesena in the Serie B on Saturday 31 October at 14:00 at Stadio Marco Druso.

Our model gives Sudtirol 42%, the draw 28% and Cesena 29%; the bookmakers' prices said 42%, 29% and 30%.

Sudtirol have 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats from their last 5 (5 scored, 7 conceded).

Cesena have 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats from their last 5 (4 scored, 8 conceded).

In their last 4 meetings Sudtirol won 0, Cesena won 2 and 2 were drawn, with 1.5 goals a game.

Another call we like: Under 3.5 goals (Goals O/U 3.5) at 75%.

More Serie B predictions

All Serie B matches

Form and head-to-head

All competitions

Sudtirol

LDLDW
  • 27 Oct · A v Padova 0–2 (xG 1.85–1.47)
  • 24 Oct · H v Sampdoria 1–1 (xG 1.84–0.63)
  • 18 Oct · A v Juve Stabia 0–3 (xG 0.30–2.77)
  • 10 Oct · H v Ascoli 0–0 (xG 1.02–0.58)
  • 20 Sep · A v Arezzo 4–1 (xG 1.09–1.73)

Cesena

WLDLD
  • 27 Oct · H v Empoli 2–1 (xG 1.32–0.62)
  • 24 Oct · A v Modena 0–3 (xG 0.18–2.19)
  • 18 Oct · H v Avellino 1–1 (xG 2.17–1.19)
  • 10 Oct · A v Benevento 0–2 (xG 0.53–1.74)
  • 18 Sep · A v Juve Stabia 1–1

Head-to-head

Sudtirol 0 · draws 2 · Cesena 2, 1.5 goals a game

  • 6 Apr 2026 · Cesena 1–1 Sudtirol (Serie B)
  • 25 Oct 2025 · Sudtirol 0–1 Cesena (Serie B)
  • 5 Apr 2025 · Sudtirol 1–1 Cesena (Serie B)
  • 3 Nov 2024 · Cesena 1–0 Sudtirol (Serie B)