Al Diriyah vs NEOM prediction
Fri 30 Oct, 14:50
Prince Turki bin Abdul Aziz Stadium
No bet worth taking on this match. None of its markets beats the bookmakers' price by more than our own uncertainty, so we stand aside. The likely outcomes below agree with the bookmakers instead.
Likely, at a fair price
We agree with the bookmakers: likely to land, but the odds give no edge-
Goals O/U 1.5Over 1.5 goalsUs 75%Books 76% Best odds 1.26 (Pinnacle)
Match result: no bet
Home win
34%
Bookmakers 37%
Draw
27%
Bookmakers 26%
Away win
39%
Bookmakers 37%
Us 39%Bookmakers 37%
Fair price
Uncertainty ±2.2%
Most likely away win, but we would not bet on it: only 39% likely; a bet needs at least 60% (value +1.8% alone is not enough).
- Away win: 39% against a market price of 37% (+1.8%).
The full reasoning, 20 more markets and 1 version of this pick
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Al Diriyah vs NEOM preview
Al Diriyah host NEOM in the Pro League on Friday 30 October at 14:50 at Prince Turki bin Abdul Aziz Stadium.
Our model gives Al Diriyah 34%, the draw 27% and NEOM 39%; the bookmakers' prices said 37%, 26% and 37%.
Al Diriyah have 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats from their last 5 (2 scored, 6 conceded).
NEOM have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats from their last 5 (7 scored, 5 conceded).
Another call we like: Over 1.5 goals (Goals O/U 1.5) at 75%.
More Pro League predictions
All Pro League matches- Thu 29 Oct, 14:35 Al Khaleej Saihat vs Al-Hazm Al Khaleej Saihat win 43% @ 2.18
- Thu 29 Oct, 18:00 Al-Nassr vs Al Kholood Al-Nassr win 80% @ 1.24
- Thu 29 Oct, 18:00 Al Riyadh vs Al-Qadisiyah FC Al-Qadisiyah FC win 73% @ 1.33
- Fri 30 Oct, 13:45 Abha vs Al-Ittihad FC Al-Ittihad FC win 61% @ 1.70
- Fri 30 Oct, 18:00 Al Shabab vs Al-Ahli Jeddah Al-Ahli Jeddah win 53% @ 2.06
Form and head-to-head
All competitionsAl Diriyah
LWDLD
- 23 Oct · A v Al-Ittihad FC 0–2 (xG 0.95–2.78)
- 20 Oct · H v Al Riyadh 1–0 (xG 1.31–0.91)
- 17 Oct · H v Al Taawon 1–1 (xG 1.97–0.88)
- 9 Oct · A v Al-Nassr 0–3 (xG 0.77–3.26)
- 13 Sep · H v Abha 0–0 (xG 1.35–0.68)
NEOM
WLLDW
- 24 Oct · H v Abha 2–0 (xG 1.39–0.74)
- 20 Oct · A v Al-Nassr 0–1 (xG 0.45–2.37)
- 17 Oct · H v Al-Ettifaq 0–1 (xG 0.74–0.16)
- 10 Oct · A v Al-Hazm 1–1 (xG 1.87–0.66)
- 13 Sep · H v Al-Fateh 4–2 (xG 2.32–1.26)
Head-to-head
No previous meeting stored.