Al Shabab vs Al-Ahli Jeddah prediction

18:00

Fri 30 Oct, 18:00 Al-Shabab Club Stadium

No bet worth taking on this match. None of its markets beats the bookmakers' price by more than our own uncertainty, so we stand aside. The likely outcomes below agree with the bookmakers instead.

Likely, at a fair price

We agree with the bookmakers: likely to land, but the odds give no edge

Goals O/U 1.5Over 1.5 goals

Us 84%Books 84% Best odds 1.18 (Betano)

Match result: no bet

Home win

24%

Bookmakers 29%

Draw

23%

Bookmakers 24%

Away win

53%

Bookmakers 47%

Us 53%Bookmakers 47% Fair price Uncertainty ±1.4%

Most likely away win, but we would not bet on it: only 53% likely; a bet needs at least 60% (value +6.3% alone is not enough).

Away win: 53% against a market price of 47% (+6.3%).

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Al Shabab vs Al-Ahli Jeddah preview

Al Shabab host Al-Ahli Jeddah in the Pro League on Friday 30 October at 18:00 at Al-Shabab Club Stadium.

Our model gives Al Shabab 24%, the draw 23% and Al-Ahli Jeddah 53%; the bookmakers' prices said 29%, 24% and 47%.

Al Shabab have 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat from their last 5 (9 scored, 5 conceded).

Al-Ahli Jeddah have 5 wins, 0 draws and 0 defeats from their last 5 (16 scored, 5 conceded).

In their last 4 meetings Al Shabab won 1, Al-Ahli Jeddah won 2 and 1 was drawn, with 4.5 goals a game.

Another call we like: Over 1.5 goals (Goals O/U 1.5) at 84%.

More Pro League predictions

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Thu 29 Oct, 14:35 Al Khaleej Saihat vs Al-Hazm Al Khaleej Saihat win 43% @ 2.18
Thu 29 Oct, 18:00 Al-Nassr vs Al Kholood Al-Nassr win 80% @ 1.24
Thu 29 Oct, 18:00 Al Riyadh vs Al-Qadisiyah FC Al-Qadisiyah FC win 73% @ 1.33
Fri 30 Oct, 13:45 Abha vs Al-Ittihad FC Al-Ittihad FC win 61% @ 1.70
Fri 30 Oct, 14:50 Al Diriyah vs NEOM NEOM win 39% @ 2.62

Form and head-to-head

All competitions

Al Shabab

WDWDL

22 Oct · A v Al-Fateh 3–1 (xG 3.43–1.07)
19 Oct · H v Al-Faisaly FC 2–2 (xG 1.31–1.56)
11 Oct · H v Al Taawon 3–0 (xG 2.34–0.90)
12 Sep · H v Al-Fayha 0–0 (xG 1.09–0.54)
9 Sep · A v Al Kholood 1–2 (xG 0.62–2.19)

Al-Ahli Jeddah

WWWWW

26 Oct · H v Al-Gharafa 2–1 (xG 1.59–0.50)
23 Oct · H v Al Khaleej Saihat 4–1 (xG 3.98–0.52)
19 Oct · A v Al-Fayha 3–2 (xG 4.18–0.70)
12 Oct · A v Al-Wasl FC 3–1 (xG 1.32–0.96)
9 Oct · A v Al-Fateh 4–0 (xG 2.54–0.45)

Head-to-head

Al Shabab 1 · draws 1 · Al-Ahli Jeddah 2, 4.5 goals a game

13 Feb 2026 · Al Shabab 2–5 Al-Ahli Jeddah (Pro League)
17 Oct 2025 · Al-Ahli Jeddah 1–1 Al Shabab (Pro League)
11 May 2025 · Al Shabab 3–1 Al-Ahli Jeddah (Pro League)
10 Jan 2025 · Al-Ahli Jeddah 3–2 Al Shabab (Pro League)