Check any pick we ever made

Every pick and slip is written into a hash chain the moment it is published. Change one old entry and every hash after it breaks, so nobody, including us, can quietly edit history.

Entry #433: pick published

Hash verified

Cracovia Krakow v Legia Warszawa: Away win 37% @ 2.42 (Avoid)

Written: 2026-10-17T00:04:47.889473+00:00 (UTC, exactly as hashed)
Previous hash: 1f98c9257ebbbbd645481067912400628fe65255479a7b5092b7f72bb295382e
Stored hash: 906e5e38962eb51928ff8d4fb418bc5d284fe8bf5725fc52a2d94f27dcc39f6e
Recomputed: 906e5e38962eb51928ff8d4fb418bc5d284fe8bf5725fc52a2d94f27dcc39f6e

Content, exactly as hashed

{
  "away": "Legia Warszawa",
  "bookmakers": 6,
  "edge": -0.0148,
  "explanation": "Away win: 37% against a market price of 39% (-1.5%).\nExpected goals Cracovia Krakow 1.30 – 1.26 Legia Warszawa.\nSimulated 10,000 times, the model alone says 34% (uncertainty ±5.9%), so it carries 33% of the weight and the de-vigged market price carries the rest.\nHome advantage in this league (+29% goals at home) takes 2.1 pts from away win.\nLegia Warszawa's defence (0.89× the league rate against) adds 0.9 pts to away win.\nLegia Warszawa's attack (1.05× the league rate) adds 0.6 pts to away win.\nRest days (Cracovia Krakow 7, Legia Warszawa 6) adds 0.4 pts to away win.\nTagged Avoid: no edge over the market price (-1.5%).",
  "fixture": 1553191,
  "home": "Cracovia Krakow",
  "kickoff": "2026-10-17T18:15:00+00:00",
  "league": "Ekstraklasa",
  "league_api_id": 106,
  "market": "1X2",
  "market_probability": 0.3856,
  "model": "unified-sim v1 (sim-106-v2)",
  "odds_taken": "2.42",
  "prediction_version": 1,
  "probability": 0.3708,
  "season": 2026,
  "selection": "away",
  "tag": "avoid",
  "tag_reason": "no edge over the market price (-1.5%)",
  "trigger": "scheduled",
  "type": "pick"
}

#432 #434

Latest entries

1413 in total