Auda vs FS Jelgava prediction
Sun 1 Nov, 11:00
Skonto stadions
No bet worth taking on this match. None of its markets beats the bookmakers' price by more than our own uncertainty, so we stand aside. The likely outcomes below agree with the bookmakers instead.
Likely, at a fair price
We agree with the bookmakers: likely to land, but the odds give no edge-
Goals O/U 1.5Over 1.5 goalsUs 83%Books 85% Best odds 1.14 (Bet365)
Most likely: Home win
Home win
66%
Bookmakers 65%
Draw
20%
Bookmakers 20%
Away win
14%
Bookmakers 15%
Us 66%Bookmakers 65%
Fair price
Uncertainty ±1.5%
Most likely home win, and the bookmakers agree: no edge on the price, but a likely leg for a slip.
- Home win: 66% against a market price of 65% (+1.2%).
The full reasoning, 5 more markets and 1 version of this pick
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Auda vs FS Jelgava preview
Auda host FS Jelgava in the Virsliga on Sunday 1 November at 11:00 at Skonto stadions.
Our model gives Auda 66%, the draw 20% and FS Jelgava 14%; the bookmakers' prices said 65%, 20% and 15%.
Auda have 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat from their last 5 (10 scored, 6 conceded).
FS Jelgava have 0 wins, 1 draw and 4 defeats from their last 5 (2 scored, 9 conceded).
In their last 6 meetings Auda won 3, FS Jelgava won 1 and 2 were drawn, with 2.7 goals a game.
Another call we like: Over 1.5 goals (Goals O/U 1.5) at 83%.
More Virsliga predictions
All Virsliga matches- Sun 1 Nov, 11:00 FK Liepaja vs Super Nova FK Liepaja win 63% @ 1.45
- Sun 1 Nov, 11:00 BFC Daugavpils vs Tukums BFC Daugavpils win 63% @ 1.52
- Sun 1 Nov, 11:00 Rīgas FS vs Grobiņa Rīgas FS win 88% @ 1.11
- Sun 1 Nov, 11:00 Ogre United vs Riga Riga win 89% @ 1.08
Form and head-to-head
All competitionsAuda
WLWDW
- 25 Oct · A v Ogre United 4–1 (xG 2.61–0.44)
- 19 Oct · A v BFC Daugavpils 1–2 (xG 2.53–1.08)
- 12 Oct · A v FK Liepaja 3–2
- 20 Sep · H v Rīgas FS 1–1
- 16 Sep · H v Ogre United 1–0
FS Jelgava
LLLLD
- 25 Oct · H v BFC Daugavpils 0–1 (xG 1.32–1.80)
- 18 Oct · A v FK Liepaja 0–3
- 11 Oct · A v Rīgas FS 2–4
- 19 Sep · H v Riga 0–1
- 12 Sep · A v Grobiņa 0–0
Head-to-head
Auda 3 · draws 2 · FS Jelgava 1, 2.7 goals a game
- 9 Aug 2026 · FS Jelgava 0–1 Auda (Virsliga)
- 13 Jun 2026 · Auda 1–1 FS Jelgava (Virsliga)
- 21 Apr 2026 · FS Jelgava 2–3 Auda (Virsliga)
- 27 Sep 2025 · FS Jelgava 1–1 Auda (Virsliga)
- 5 Jul 2025 · Auda 2–0 FS Jelgava (Virsliga)
- 15 May 2025 · FS Jelgava 3–1 Auda (Virsliga)