Ogre United vs Riga prediction

11:00

Sun 1 Nov, 11:00

No bet worth taking on this match. None of its markets beats the bookmakers' price by more than our own uncertainty, so we stand aside. The likely outcomes below agree with the bookmakers instead.

Likely, at a fair price

We agree with the bookmakers: likely to land, but the odds give no edge

Goals O/U 1.5Over 1.5 goals

Us 92%Books 92% Best odds 1.05 (Bet365)

Most likely: Away win

Home win

Bookmakers 2%

Draw

Bookmakers 8%

Away win

89%

Bookmakers 90%

Us 89%Bookmakers 90% Fair price Uncertainty ±0.9%

Most likely away win, and the bookmakers agree: no edge on the price, but a likely leg for a slip.

Away win: 89% against a market price of 90% (-0.9%).

The full reasoning, 5 more markets and 1 version of this pick

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Ogre United vs Riga preview

Ogre United host Riga in the Virsliga on Sunday 1 November at 11:00.

Our model gives Ogre United 3%, the draw 8% and Riga 89%; the bookmakers' prices said 2%, 8% and 90%.

Ogre United have 1 win, 0 draws and 4 defeats from their last 5 (5 scored, 10 conceded).

Riga have 3 wins, 2 draws and 0 defeats from their last 5 (11 scored, 5 conceded).

In their last 3 meetings Ogre United won 0, Riga won 3 and 0 were drawn, with 4.7 goals a game.

Another call we like: Over 1.5 goals (Goals O/U 1.5) at 92%.

More Virsliga predictions

All Virsliga matches

Sun 1 Nov, 11:00 FK Liepaja vs Super Nova FK Liepaja win 63% @ 1.45
Sun 1 Nov, 11:00 Auda vs FS Jelgava Auda win 66% @ 1.57
Sun 1 Nov, 11:00 BFC Daugavpils vs Tukums BFC Daugavpils win 63% @ 1.52
Sun 1 Nov, 11:00 Rīgas FS vs Grobiņa Rīgas FS win 88% @ 1.11

Form and head-to-head

All competitions

Ogre United

LLLWL

25 Oct · H v Auda 1–4 (xG 0.44–2.61)
17 Oct · A v Grobiņa 2–3 (xG 2.10–2.31)
11 Oct · H v BFC Daugavpils 1–2
20 Sep · H v Super Nova 1–0
16 Sep · A v Auda 0–1

Riga

WDWDW

26 Oct · A v Grobiņa 5–2 (xG 2.60–0.45)
22 Oct · A v Pafos 1–1 (xG 1.64–1.46)
18 Oct · H v Super Nova 2–1 (xG 2.08–0.58)
15 Oct · H v Kairat Almaty 1–1 (xG 2.31–1.15)
10 Oct · A v Tukums 2–0 (xG 2.97–0.79)

Head-to-head

Ogre United 0 · draws 0 · Riga 3, 4.7 goals a game

9 Aug 2026 · Riga 4–1 Ogre United (Virsliga)
13 Jun 2026 · Ogre United 1–4 Riga (Virsliga)
22 Apr 2026 · Riga 4–0 Ogre United (Virsliga)