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Rīgas FS vs Grobiņa prediction

Sun 1 Nov, 11:00 LNK Sporta Parks
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No bet worth taking on this match. None of its markets beats the bookmakers' price by more than our own uncertainty, so we stand aside. The likely outcomes below agree with the bookmakers instead.

Likely, at a fair price

We agree with the bookmakers: likely to land, but the odds give no edge
  • Goals O/U 1.5Over 1.5 goals
    Us 90%Books 90% Best odds 1.08 (Bet365)

Most likely: Home win

Home win
88%
Bookmakers 88%
Draw
9%
Bookmakers 9%
Away win
3%
Bookmakers 3%
Us 88%Bookmakers 88% Fair price Uncertainty ±0.4%

Most likely home win, and the bookmakers agree: no edge on the price, but a likely leg for a slip.

  • Home win: 88% against a market price of 88% (+0.2%).

The full reasoning, 5 more markets and 1 version of this pick

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Rīgas FS vs Grobiņa preview

Rīgas FS host Grobiņa in the Virsliga on Sunday 1 November at 11:00 at LNK Sporta Parks.

Our model gives Rīgas FS 88%, the draw 9% and Grobiņa 3%; the bookmakers' prices said 88%, 9% and 3%.

Rīgas FS have 4 wins, 1 draw and 0 defeats from their last 5 (14 scored, 3 conceded).

Grobiņa have 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats from their last 5 (7 scored, 10 conceded).

In their last 6 meetings Rīgas FS won 6, Grobiņa won 0 and 0 were drawn, with 4.7 goals a game.

Another call we like: Over 1.5 goals (Goals O/U 1.5) at 90%.

More Virsliga predictions

All Virsliga matches

Form and head-to-head

All competitions

Rīgas FS

WWWWD
  • 25 Oct · A v Super Nova 3–0 (xG 1.81–0.33)
  • 19 Oct · H v Tukums 2–0 (xG 2.58–0.22)
  • 15 Oct · H v Super Nova 4–0
  • 11 Oct · H v FS Jelgava 4–2
  • 20 Sep · A v Auda 1–1

Grobiņa

LWLDD
  • 26 Oct · H v Riga 2–5 (xG 0.45–2.60)
  • 17 Oct · H v Ogre United 3–2 (xG 2.31–2.10)
  • 10 Oct · A v Super Nova 1–2
  • 20 Sep · A v Tukums 1–1
  • 12 Sep · H v FS Jelgava 0–0

Head-to-head

Rīgas FS 6 · draws 0 · Grobiņa 0, 4.7 goals a game

  • 10 Aug 2026 · Rīgas FS 6–1 Grobiņa (Virsliga)
  • 13 Jun 2026 · Grobiņa 1–3 Rīgas FS (Virsliga)
  • 22 Apr 2026 · Grobiņa 0–1 Rīgas FS (Virsliga)
  • 26 Oct 2025 · Rīgas FS 5–0 Grobiņa (Virsliga)
  • 3 Aug 2025 · Grobiņa 2–3 Rīgas FS (Virsliga)
  • 31 May 2025 · Rīgas FS 6–0 Grobiņa (Virsliga)