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Como vs Venezia prediction

11:30
Sun 1 Nov, 11:30 Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia
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No bet worth taking on this match. None of its markets beats the bookmakers' price by more than our own uncertainty, so we stand aside. The likely outcomes below agree with the bookmakers instead.

Likely, at a fair price

We agree with the bookmakers: likely to land, but the odds give no edge
  • Goals O/U 1.5Over 1.5 goals
    Us 87%Books 87% Best odds 1.14 (Betano)

Most likely: Home win

Home win
73%
Bookmakers 75%
Draw
16%
Bookmakers 16%
Away win
11%
Bookmakers 10%
Us 73%Bookmakers 75% Odds too short Uncertainty ±3.5%

Most likely home win, and the bookmakers agree: no edge on the price, but a likely leg for a slip.

  • Home win: 73% against a market price of 75% (-2.1%).

The full reasoning, 20 more markets and 1 version of this pick

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Como vs Venezia preview

Como host Venezia in the Serie A on Sunday 1 November at 11:30 at Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia.

Our model gives Como 73%, the draw 16% and Venezia 11%; the bookmakers' prices said 75%, 16% and 10%.

Como have 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeat from their last 5 (14 scored, 6 conceded).

Venezia have 1 win, 0 draws and 4 defeats from their last 5 (2 scored, 8 conceded).

In their last 2 meetings Como won 0, Venezia won 0 and 2 were drawn, with 3.0 goals a game.

Another call we like: Over 1.5 goals (Goals O/U 1.5) at 87%.

More Serie A predictions

All Serie A matches

Form and head-to-head

All competitions

Como

WWWWL
  • 27 Oct · A v Torino 3–1 (xG 2.28–1.17)
  • 24 Oct · H v Sassuolo 2–0 (xG 1.69–0.26)
  • 21 Oct · H v Manchester United 4–1 (xG 2.12–1.11)
  • 18 Oct · A v Fiorentina 3–1 (xG 1.83–2.33)
  • 14 Oct · A v Feyenoord 2–3 (xG 1.34–0.67)

Venezia

LLWLL
  • 28 Oct · H v Inter 0–2 (xG 1.67–2.39)
  • 25 Oct · A v Genoa 0–1 (xG 1.82–0.41)
  • 17 Oct · H v Napoli 1–0 (xG 0.67–2.46)
  • 12 Oct · A v Atalanta 1–3 (xG 2.54–2.26)
  • 19 Sep · H v Lazio 0–2 (xG 1.89–1.60)

Head-to-head

Como 0 · draws 2 · Venezia 0, 3.0 goals a game

  • 8 Mar 2025 · Como 1–1 Venezia (Serie A)
  • 8 Dec 2024 · Venezia 2–2 Como (Serie A)