Lazio vs Cagliari prediction
Sun 1 Nov, 14:00
Stadio Olimpico
No bet worth taking on this match. None of its markets beats the bookmakers' price by more than our own uncertainty, so we stand aside. The likely outcomes below agree with the bookmakers instead.
Likely, at a fair price
We agree with the bookmakers: likely to land, but the odds give no edge-
Goals O/U 1.5Over 1.5 goalsUs 78%Books 77% Best odds 1.28 (Pinnacle)
Most likely: Home win
Home win
67%
Bookmakers 67%
Draw
20%
Bookmakers 21%
Away win
13%
Bookmakers 12%
Us 67%Bookmakers 67%
Fair price
Uncertainty ±1.8%
Most likely home win, and the bookmakers agree: no edge on the price, but a likely leg for a slip.
- Home win: 67% against a market price of 67% (-0.6%).
The full reasoning, 20 more markets and 1 version of this pick
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Lazio vs Cagliari preview
Lazio host Cagliari in the Serie A on Sunday 1 November at 14:00 at Stadio Olimpico.
Our model gives Lazio 67%, the draw 20% and Cagliari 13%; the bookmakers' prices said 67%, 21% and 12%.
Lazio have 5 wins, 0 draws and 0 defeats from their last 5 (16 scored, 4 conceded).
Cagliari have 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats from their last 5 (4 scored, 11 conceded).
In their last 4 meetings Lazio won 3, Cagliari won 0 and 1 was drawn, with 2.0 goals a game.
Another call we like: Over 1.5 goals (Goals O/U 1.5) at 78%.
More Serie A predictions
All Serie A matches- Sat 31 Oct, 14:00 Bologna vs Monza Bologna win 53% @ 1.76
- Sat 31 Oct, 17:00 Udinese vs AS Roma AS Roma win 64% @ 1.63
- Sat 31 Oct, 19:45 AC Milan vs Inter Inter win 51% @ 2.10
- Sun 1 Nov, 11:30 Como vs Venezia Como win 73% @ 1.34
- Sun 1 Nov, 14:00 Frosinone vs Torino Frosinone win 48% @ 2.24
- Sun 1 Nov, 17:00 Lecce vs Genoa Genoa win 38% @ 2.64
Form and head-to-head
All competitionsLazio
WWWWW
- 27 Oct · A v Sassuolo 6–2 (xG 3.59–0.80)
- 24 Oct · H v Parma 2–1 (xG 1.82–0.87)
- 18 Oct · A v Juventus 3–0 (xG 0.59–0.79)
- 11 Oct · H v Monza 3–1 (xG 1.84–1.84)
- 19 Sep · A v Venezia 2–0 (xG 1.60–1.89)
Cagliari
LLLDW
- 27 Oct · A v AS Roma 2–4 (xG 2.46–3.10)
- 24 Oct · H v Bologna 0–2 (xG 0.44–1.64)
- 19 Oct · A v Monza 0–4 (xG 2.11–2.10)
- 11 Oct · H v Juventus 1–1 (xG 0.56–1.97)
- 19 Sep · A v Udinese 1–0 (xG 1.12–2.13)
Head-to-head
Lazio 3 · draws 1 · Cagliari 0, 2.0 goals a game
- 21 Feb 2026 · Cagliari 0–0 Lazio (Serie A)
- 3 Nov 2025 · Lazio 2–0 Cagliari (Serie A)
- 3 Feb 2025 · Cagliari 1–2 Lazio (Serie A)
- 4 Nov 2024 · Lazio 2–1 Cagliari (Serie A)