Lecce vs Genoa prediction
Sun 1 Nov, 17:00
Stadio Via del Mare
Bets on this match
Best expected value first, at the best price we found-
Goals O/U 1.5Over 1.5 goalsBankerUs 69%Books 66% Beats the odds Best odds 1.47 (Betano)
Likely, at a fair price
We agree with the bookmakers: likely to land, but the odds give no edge-
Goals O/U 3.5Under 3.5 goalsUs 78%Books 81% Best odds 1.22 (Betano)
Match result: no bet
Home win
33%
Bookmakers 31%
Draw
29%
Bookmakers 30%
Away win
38%
Bookmakers 38%
Us 38%Bookmakers 38%
Fair price
Uncertainty ±2.0%
Most likely away win, but we would not bet on it: only 38% likely; a bet needs at least 60%.
- Away win: 38% against a market price of 38% (-0.3%).
The full reasoning, 20 more markets and 1 version of this pick
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Lecce vs Genoa preview
Lecce host Genoa in the Serie A on Sunday 1 November at 17:00 at Stadio Via del Mare.
Our model gives Lecce 33%, the draw 29% and Genoa 38%; the bookmakers' prices said 31%, 30% and 38%.
Lecce have 1 win, 0 draws and 4 defeats from their last 5 (5 scored, 12 conceded).
Genoa have 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats from their last 5 (6 scored, 5 conceded).
In their last 4 meetings Lecce won 1, Genoa won 1 and 2 were drawn, with 1.0 goals a game.
Another call we like: Over 1.5 goals (Goals O/U 1.5) at 69%.
More Serie A predictions
All Serie A matches- Sat 31 Oct, 14:00 Bologna vs Monza Bologna win 53% @ 1.76
- Sat 31 Oct, 17:00 Udinese vs AS Roma AS Roma win 64% @ 1.63
- Sat 31 Oct, 19:45 AC Milan vs Inter Inter win 51% @ 2.10
- Sun 1 Nov, 11:30 Como vs Venezia Como win 73% @ 1.34
- Sun 1 Nov, 14:00 Lazio vs Cagliari Lazio win 67% @ 1.48
- Sun 1 Nov, 14:00 Frosinone vs Torino Frosinone win 48% @ 2.24
Form and head-to-head
All competitionsLecce
LLWLL
- 29 Oct · A v Frosinone 1–5 (xG 1.42–3.40)
- 25 Oct · H v Juventus 0–2 (xG 1.02–1.13)
- 18 Oct · A v Udinese 3–0 (xG 3.45–0.63)
- 11 Oct · H v Bologna 1–2 (xG 1.49–2.00)
- 20 Sep · A v AC Milan 0–3 (xG 0.21–2.19)
Genoa
WWLWL
- 28 Oct · H v Juventus 2–0 (xG 1.01–1.30)
- 25 Oct · H v Venezia 1–0 (xG 0.41–1.82)
- 17 Oct · A v AS Roma 0–2 (xG 0.49–1.45)
- 10 Oct · H v Fiorentina 2–1 (xG 1.46–0.82)
- 20 Sep · A v Parma 1–2 (xG 0.70–0.53)
Head-to-head
Lecce 1 · draws 2 · Genoa 1, 1.0 goals a game
- 24 May 2026 · Lecce 1–0 Genoa (Serie A)
- 23 Aug 2025 · Genoa 0–0 Lecce (Serie A)
- 14 Mar 2025 · Genoa 2–1 Lecce (Serie A)
- 5 Jan 2025 · Lecce 0–0 Genoa (Serie A)