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Juventus vs Napoli prediction

Sun 1 Nov, 19:45 Allianz Stadium
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Bets on this match

Best expected value first, at the best price we found
  • Corners O/U 10.5Under 10.5 cornersBanker
    Us 66%Books 64% Beats the odds Best odds 1.53 (Pinnacle)

Likely, at a fair price

We agree with the bookmakers: likely to land, but the odds give no edge
  • Goals O/U 1.5Over 1.5 goals
    Us 75%Books 73% Best odds 1.32 (Pinnacle)

Match result: no bet

Home win
45%
Bookmakers 42%
Draw
25%
Bookmakers 28%
Away win
29%
Bookmakers 29%
Us 45%Bookmakers 42% Fair price Uncertainty ±2.9%

Most likely home win, but we would not bet on it: only 45% likely; a bet needs at least 60% (value +2.9% alone is not enough).

  • Home win: 45% against a market price of 42% (+2.9%).

The full reasoning, 20 more markets and 2 versions of this pick

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Juventus vs Napoli preview

Juventus host Napoli in the Serie A on Sunday 1 November at 19:45 at Allianz Stadium.

Our model gives Juventus 45%, the draw 25% and Napoli 29%; the bookmakers' prices said 42%, 28% and 29%.

Juventus have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats from their last 5 (6 scored, 8 conceded).

Napoli have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats from their last 5 (12 scored, 11 conceded).

In their last 4 meetings Juventus won 1, Napoli won 2 and 1 was drawn, with 2.2 goals a game.

Another call we like: Under 10.5 corners (Corners O/U 10.5) at 66%.

More Serie A predictions

All Serie A matches

Form and head-to-head

All competitions

Juventus

LWDLW
  • 28 Oct · A v Genoa 0–2 (xG 1.30–1.01)
  • 25 Oct · A v Lecce 2–0 (xG 1.13–1.02)
  • 22 Oct · H v Rennes 2–2 (xG 2.26–1.77)
  • 18 Oct · H v Lazio 0–3 (xG 0.79–0.59)
  • 15 Oct · A v Celta Vigo 2–1 (xG 1.75–1.10)

Napoli

WDWLL
  • 28 Oct · A v Monza 4–1 (xG 1.43–0.81)
  • 24 Oct · H v AS Roma 3–3 (xG 2.51–1.96)
  • 20 Oct · H v Bodo/Glimt 4–3 (xG 1.57–2.69)
  • 17 Oct · A v Venezia 0–1 (xG 2.46–0.67)
  • 13 Oct · A v Villarreal 1–3 (xG 1.70–1.24)

Head-to-head

Juventus 1 · draws 1 · Napoli 2, 2.3 goals a game

  • 25 Jan 2026 · Juventus 3–0 Napoli (Serie A)
  • 7 Dec 2025 · Napoli 2–1 Juventus (Serie A)
  • 25 Jan 2025 · Napoli 2–1 Juventus (Serie A)
  • 21 Sep 2024 · Juventus 0–0 Napoli (Serie A)