Emmen vs Den Bosch prediction

19:00

Fri 30 Oct, 19:00 De Oude Meerdijk

No bet worth taking on this match. None of its markets beats the bookmakers' price by more than our own uncertainty, so we stand aside. The likely outcomes below agree with the bookmakers instead.

Likely, at a fair price

We agree with the bookmakers: likely to land, but the odds give no edge

Goals O/U 1.5Over 1.5 goals

Us 88%Books 89% Best odds 1.11 (Betano)

Match result: no bet

Home win

54%

Bookmakers 54%

Draw

21%

Bookmakers 22%

Away win

25%

Bookmakers 24%

Us 54%Bookmakers 54% Fair price Uncertainty ±2.2%

Most likely home win, but we would not bet on it: only 54% likely; a bet needs at least 60% (value +0.9% alone is not enough).

Home win: 54% against a market price of 54% (+0.9%).

The full reasoning, 20 more markets and 1 version of this pick

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Emmen vs Den Bosch preview

Emmen host Den Bosch in the Eerste Divisie on Friday 30 October at 19:00 at De Oude Meerdijk.

Our model gives Emmen 54%, the draw 21% and Den Bosch 25%; the bookmakers' prices said 54%, 22% and 24%.

Emmen have 4 wins, 1 draw and 0 defeats from their last 5 (9 scored, 2 conceded).

Den Bosch have 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat from their last 5 (6 scored, 5 conceded).

In their last 4 meetings Emmen won 1, Den Bosch won 2 and 1 was drawn, with 2.5 goals a game.

Another call we like: Over 1.5 goals (Goals O/U 1.5) at 88%.

More Eerste Divisie predictions

All Eerste Divisie matches

Fri 30 Oct, 19:00 Roda vs Jong AZ Roda win 55% @ 1.70
Fri 30 Oct, 19:00 FC Volendam vs De Graafschap FC Volendam win 50% @ 2.02
Fri 30 Oct, 19:00 Waalwijk vs Almere City FC Waalwijk win 44% @ 2.19
Fri 30 Oct, 19:00 Helmond Sport vs FC Eindhoven Helmond Sport win 45% @ 2.14

Form and head-to-head

All competitions

Emmen

WWWDW

23 Oct · A v Vitesse 2–0 (xG 3.20–1.70)
17 Oct · H v Almere City FC 2–1 (xG 3.67–2.22)
9 Oct · A v Dordrecht 3–0 (xG 1.25–1.05)
3 Oct · A v Waalwijk 1–1 (xG 1.77–1.09)
26 Sep · H v FC OSS 1–0 (xG 1.86–0.81)

Den Bosch

DWWDL

23 Oct · H v MVV 2–2 (xG 1.10–0.89)
16 Oct · H v FC OSS 2–1 (xG 1.66–2.35)
9 Oct · A v Jong AZ 1–0 (xG 0.94–0.85)
3 Oct · H v Dordrecht 1–1 (xG 1.68–0.84)
27 Sep · A v De Graafschap 0–1

Head-to-head

Emmen 1 · draws 1 · Den Bosch 2, 2.5 goals a game

30 Jan 2026 · Den Bosch 1–1 Emmen (Eerste Divisie)
29 Aug 2025 · Emmen 3–1 Den Bosch (Eerste Divisie)
20 Dec 2024 · Emmen 0–3 Den Bosch (Eerste Divisie)
20 Sep 2024 · Den Bosch 1–0 Emmen (Eerste Divisie)