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Helmond Sport vs FC Eindhoven prediction

Fri 30 Oct, 19:00 GS Staalwerken Stadion
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No bet worth taking on this match. None of its markets beats the bookmakers' price by more than our own uncertainty, so we stand aside. The likely outcomes below agree with the bookmakers instead.

Likely, at a fair price

We agree with the bookmakers: likely to land, but the odds give no edge
  • Goals O/U 1.5Over 1.5 goals
    Us 82%Books 82% Best odds 1.19 (Betano)

Match result: no bet

Home win
45%
Bookmakers 45%
Draw
24%
Bookmakers 25%
Away win
31%
Bookmakers 30%
Us 45%Bookmakers 45% Fair price Uncertainty ±2.5%

Most likely home win, but we would not bet on it: only 45% likely; a bet needs at least 60%.

  • Home win: 45% against a market price of 45% (-0.2%).

The full reasoning, 20 more markets and 1 version of this pick

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Helmond Sport vs FC Eindhoven preview

Helmond Sport host FC Eindhoven in the Eerste Divisie on Friday 30 October at 19:00 at GS Staalwerken Stadion.

Our model gives Helmond Sport 45%, the draw 24% and FC Eindhoven 31%; the bookmakers' prices said 45%, 25% and 30%.

Helmond Sport have 0 wins, 1 draw and 4 defeats from their last 5 (7 scored, 14 conceded).

FC Eindhoven have 0 wins, 1 draw and 4 defeats from their last 5 (5 scored, 12 conceded).

In their last 4 meetings Helmond Sport won 1, FC Eindhoven won 2 and 1 was drawn, with 3.2 goals a game.

Another call we like: Over 1.5 goals (Goals O/U 1.5) at 82%.

More Eerste Divisie predictions

All Eerste Divisie matches

Form and head-to-head

All competitions

Helmond Sport

LLLDL
  • 23 Oct · A v Jong AZ 4–5 (xG 1.70–1.11)
  • 16 Oct · H v NAC Breda 0–2 (xG 0.73–1.86)
  • 9 Oct · A v FC OSS 1–3 (xG 1.48–2.78)
  • 2 Oct · H v Heracles 2–2 (xG 1.58–2.06)
  • 26 Sep · A v MVV 0–2

FC Eindhoven

LLLDL
  • 23 Oct · H v Jong PSV U21 1–2 (xG 1.72–1.92)
  • 16 Oct · H v Vitesse 0–1 (xG 0.89–0.33)
  • 9 Oct · A v Almere City FC 0–3 (xG 0.46–2.79)
  • 3 Oct · H v De Graafschap 2–2
  • 26 Sep · A v NAC Breda 2–4 (xG 0.35–2.31)

Head-to-head

Helmond Sport 1 · draws 1 · FC Eindhoven 2, 3.3 goals a game

  • 24 Apr 2026 · FC Eindhoven 1–0 Helmond Sport (Eerste Divisie)
  • 26 Sep 2025 · Helmond Sport 1–0 FC Eindhoven (Eerste Divisie)
  • 28 Mar 2025 · FC Eindhoven 2–2 Helmond Sport (Eerste Divisie)
  • 22 Nov 2024 · Helmond Sport 3–4 FC Eindhoven (Eerste Divisie)