Roda vs Jong AZ prediction
Fri 30 Oct, 19:00
Parkstad Limburg Stadion
No bet worth taking on this match. None of its markets beats the bookmakers' price by more than our own uncertainty, so we stand aside. The likely outcomes below agree with the bookmakers instead.
Likely, at a fair price
We agree with the bookmakers: likely to land, but the odds give no edge-
Goals O/U 1.5Over 1.5 goalsUs 85%Books 86% Best odds 1.14 (Betano)
Match result: no bet
Home win
55%
Bookmakers 57%
Draw
22%
Bookmakers 22%
Away win
24%
Bookmakers 22%
Us 55%Bookmakers 57%
Odds too short
Uncertainty ±2.3%
Most likely home win, but we would not bet on it: only 55% likely; a bet needs at least 60%.
- Home win: 55% against a market price of 57% (-2.0%).
The full reasoning, 20 more markets and 1 version of this pick
Join free to open themAlready a member? Sign in
Roda vs Jong AZ preview
Roda host Jong AZ in the Eerste Divisie on Friday 30 October at 19:00 at Parkstad Limburg Stadion.
Our model gives Roda 55%, the draw 22% and Jong AZ 24%; the bookmakers' prices said 57%, 22% and 22%.
Roda have 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat from their last 5 (8 scored, 6 conceded).
Jong AZ have 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat from their last 5 (14 scored, 11 conceded).
In their last 4 meetings Roda won 0, Jong AZ won 3 and 1 was drawn, with 5.0 goals a game.
Another call we like: Over 1.5 goals (Goals O/U 1.5) at 85%.
More Eerste Divisie predictions
All Eerste Divisie matches- Fri 30 Oct, 19:00 Emmen vs Den Bosch Emmen win 54% @ 1.83
- Fri 30 Oct, 19:00 FC Volendam vs De Graafschap FC Volendam win 50% @ 2.02
- Fri 30 Oct, 19:00 Waalwijk vs Almere City FC Waalwijk win 44% @ 2.19
- Fri 30 Oct, 19:00 Helmond Sport vs FC Eindhoven Helmond Sport win 45% @ 2.14
Form and head-to-head
All competitionsRoda
WWDLW
- 23 Oct · A v Almere City FC 3–2 (xG 2.73–1.75)
- 19 Oct · A v Jong Utrecht 2–1 (xG 2.44–1.02)
- 9 Oct · H v Jong PSV U21 1–1 (xG 1.60–1.33)
- 4 Oct · A v VVV Venlo 0–2
- 26 Sep · H v Waalwijk 2–0 (xG 0.49–0.78)
Jong AZ
WDLWD
- 23 Oct · H v Helmond Sport 5–4 (xG 1.11–1.70)
- 16 Oct · A v VVV Venlo 4–4 (xG 1.44–2.41)
- 9 Oct · H v Den Bosch 0–1 (xG 0.85–0.94)
- 18 Sep · H v FC Volendam 4–1 (xG 2.82–1.05)
- 14 Sep · A v Jong PSV U21 1–1 (xG 0.94–1.93)
Head-to-head
Roda 0 · draws 1 · Jong AZ 3, 5.0 goals a game
- 24 Apr 2026 · Jong AZ 2–0 Roda (Eerste Divisie)
- 5 Dec 2025 · Roda 2–3 Jong AZ (Eerste Divisie)
- 7 Feb 2025 · Roda 3–3 Jong AZ (Eerste Divisie)
- 12 Aug 2024 · Jong AZ 6–1 Roda (Eerste Divisie)