Waalwijk vs Almere City FC prediction

19:00

Fri 30 Oct, 19:00 Mandemakers Stadion

No bet worth taking on this match. None of its markets beats the bookmakers' price by more than our own uncertainty, so we stand aside. The likely outcomes below agree with the bookmakers instead.

Likely, at a fair price

We agree with the bookmakers: likely to land, but the odds give no edge

Goals O/U 1.5Over 1.5 goals

Us 85%Books 86% Best odds 1.14 (Betano)

Match result: no bet

Home win

44%

Bookmakers 44%

Draw

23%

Bookmakers 24%

Away win

33%

Bookmakers 32%

Us 44%Bookmakers 44% Fair price Uncertainty ±2.9%

Most likely home win, but we would not bet on it: only 44% likely; a bet needs at least 60%.

Home win: 44% against a market price of 44% (-0.4%).

The full reasoning, 20 more markets and 1 version of this pick

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Waalwijk vs Almere City FC preview

Waalwijk host Almere City FC in the Eerste Divisie on Friday 30 October at 19:00 at Mandemakers Stadion.

Our model gives Waalwijk 44%, the draw 23% and Almere City FC 33%; the bookmakers' prices said 44%, 24% and 32%.

Waalwijk have 0 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats from their last 5 (3 scored, 8 conceded).

Almere City FC have 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats from their last 5 (9 scored, 8 conceded).

In their last 4 meetings Waalwijk won 3, Almere City FC won 0 and 1 was drawn, with 3.2 goals a game.

Another call we like: Over 1.5 goals (Goals O/U 1.5) at 85%.

More Eerste Divisie predictions

All Eerste Divisie matches

Fri 30 Oct, 19:00 Emmen vs Den Bosch Emmen win 54% @ 1.83
Fri 30 Oct, 19:00 Roda vs Jong AZ Roda win 55% @ 1.70
Fri 30 Oct, 19:00 FC Volendam vs De Graafschap FC Volendam win 50% @ 2.02
Fri 30 Oct, 19:00 Helmond Sport vs FC Eindhoven Helmond Sport win 45% @ 2.14

Form and head-to-head

All competitions

Waalwijk

DDLDL

23 Oct · A v De Graafschap 1–1 (xG 1.59–1.02)
18 Oct · H v FC Volendam 1–1 (xG 2.38–0.70)
9 Oct · A v Heracles 0–3 (xG 0.75–2.47)
3 Oct · H v Emmen 1–1 (xG 1.09–1.77)
26 Sep · A v Roda 0–2 (xG 0.78–0.49)

Almere City FC

LLWWL

23 Oct · H v Roda 2–3 (xG 1.75–2.73)
17 Oct · A v Emmen 1–2 (xG 2.22–3.67)
9 Oct · H v FC Eindhoven 3–0 (xG 2.79–0.46)
3 Oct · H v FC Volendam 1–0 (xG 2.19–1.04)
25 Sep · A v Dordrecht 2–3 (xG 1.85–0.91)

Head-to-head

Waalwijk 3 · draws 1 · Almere City FC 0, 3.3 goals a game

17 Mar 2026 · Almere City FC 2–2 Waalwijk (Eerste Divisie)
30 Aug 2025 · Waalwijk 2–0 Almere City FC (Eerste Divisie)
2 Feb 2025 · Almere City FC 1–4 Waalwijk (Eredivisie)
3 Nov 2024 · Waalwijk 2–0 Almere City FC (Eredivisie)