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FC Volendam vs De Graafschap prediction

FC Volendam
19:00
De Graafschap
Fri 30 Oct, 19:00 Kras Stadion
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No bet worth taking on this match. None of its markets beats the bookmakers' price by more than our own uncertainty, so we stand aside. The likely outcomes below agree with the bookmakers instead.

Likely, at a fair price

We agree with the bookmakers: likely to land, but the odds give no edge
  • Goals O/U 1.5Over 1.5 goals
    Us 90%Books 91% Best odds 1.09 (Betano)

Match result: no bet

Home win
50%
Bookmakers 47%
Draw
21%
Bookmakers 22%
Away win
28%
Bookmakers 30%
Us 50%Bookmakers 47% Fair price Uncertainty ±4.8%

Most likely home win, but we would not bet on it: only 50% likely; a bet needs at least 60% (value +3.0% alone is not enough).

  • Home win: 50% against a market price of 47% (+3.0%).

The full reasoning, 20 more markets and 1 version of this pick

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FC Volendam vs De Graafschap preview

FC Volendam host De Graafschap in the Eerste Divisie on Friday 30 October at 19:00 at Kras Stadion.

Our model gives FC Volendam 50%, the draw 21% and De Graafschap 28%; the bookmakers' prices said 47%, 22% and 30%.

FC Volendam have 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat from their last 5 (12 scored, 6 conceded).

De Graafschap have 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat from their last 5 (7 scored, 6 conceded).

In their last 2 meetings FC Volendam won 1, De Graafschap won 1 and 0 were drawn, with 5.0 goals a game.

Another call we like: Over 1.5 goals (Goals O/U 1.5) at 90%.

More Eerste Divisie predictions

All Eerste Divisie matches

Form and head-to-head

All competitions

FC Volendam

WDWLW
  • 23 Oct · H v Jong Utrecht 6–2 (xG 2.83–1.82)
  • 18 Oct · A v Waalwijk 1–1 (xG 0.70–2.38)
  • 9 Oct · H v Vitesse 2–0 (xG 1.07–1.25)
  • 3 Oct · A v Almere City FC 0–1 (xG 1.04–2.19)
  • 26 Sep · H v VVV Venlo 3–2 (xG 1.03–2.32)

De Graafschap

DLWDW
  • 23 Oct · H v Waalwijk 1–1 (xG 1.02–1.59)
  • 19 Oct · A v Jong Ajax 1–2 (xG 0.73–2.85)
  • 9 Oct · H v Jong Utrecht 2–1 (xG 1.59–1.61)
  • 3 Oct · A v FC Eindhoven 2–2
  • 27 Sep · H v Den Bosch 1–0

Head-to-head

FC Volendam 1 · draws 0 · De Graafschap 1, 5.0 goals a game

  • 22 Dec 2024 · FC Volendam 2–1 De Graafschap (Eerste Divisie)
  • 11 Aug 2024 · De Graafschap 4–3 FC Volendam (Eerste Divisie)