PEC Zwolle vs ADO Den Haag prediction
Sun 1 Nov, 11:15
No bet worth taking on this match. None of its markets beats the bookmakers' price by more than our own uncertainty, so we stand aside. The likely outcomes below agree with the bookmakers instead.
Likely, at a fair price
We agree with the bookmakers: likely to land, but the odds give no edge-
Goals O/U 1.5Over 1.5 goalsUs 82%Books 82% Best odds 1.21 (Betano)
Match result: no bet
Home win
38%
Bookmakers 43%
Draw
25%
Bookmakers 25%
Away win
37%
Bookmakers 32%
Us 38%Bookmakers 43%
Odds too short
Uncertainty ±3.7%
Most likely home win, but we would not bet on it: only 38% likely; a bet needs at least 60%.
- Home win: 38% against a market price of 43% (-4.8%).
The full reasoning, 20 more markets and 1 version of this pick
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PEC Zwolle vs ADO Den Haag preview
PEC Zwolle host ADO Den Haag in the Eredivisie on Sunday 1 November at 11:15.
Our model gives PEC Zwolle 38%, the draw 25% and ADO Den Haag 37%; the bookmakers' prices said 43%, 25% and 32%.
PEC Zwolle have 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats from their last 5 (5 scored, 13 conceded).
ADO Den Haag have 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats from their last 5 (7 scored, 9 conceded).
Another call we like: Over 1.5 goals (Goals O/U 1.5) at 82%.
More Eredivisie predictions
All Eredivisie matches- Sat 31 Oct, 15:30 Feyenoord vs Fortuna Sittard Feyenoord win 80% @ 1.18
- Sat 31 Oct, 17:45 PSV Eindhoven vs Willem II PSV Eindhoven win 89% @ 1.09
- Sat 31 Oct, 17:45 Heerenveen vs NEC Nijmegen Heerenveen win 45% @ 2.13
- Sat 31 Oct, 20:00 Ajax vs AZ Alkmaar Ajax win 54% @ 1.81
- Sat 31 Oct, 20:00 Cambuur vs GO Ahead Eagles Cambuur win 39% @ 3.00
- Sun 1 Nov, 13:30 Excelsior vs Twente Twente win 60% @ 1.61
Form and head-to-head
All competitionsPEC Zwolle
DWLLL
- 24 Oct · A v Utrecht 1–1 (xG 0.95–1.66)
- 18 Oct · H v GO Ahead Eagles 4–1 (xG 1.81–2.76)
- 11 Oct · H v Cambuur 0–1 (xG 0.98–0.82)
- 18 Sep · A v Groningen 0–3 (xG 0.43–1.39)
- 13 Sep · H v Feyenoord 0–7 (xG 0.19–3.40)
ADO Den Haag
LWDDL
- 24 Oct · H v Heerenveen 2–3 (xG 2.90–2.50)
- 17 Oct · H v PSV Eindhoven 2–1 (xG 1.43–1.07)
- 11 Oct · A v Telstar 2–2 (xG 1.38–2.86)
- 19 Sep · H v Cambuur 1–1
- 12 Sep · A v Twente 0–2 (xG 0.54–2.81)
Head-to-head
No previous meeting stored.