Excelsior vs Twente prediction
Sun 1 Nov, 13:30
Stadion Woudestein
No bet worth taking on this match. None of its markets beats the bookmakers' price by more than our own uncertainty, so we stand aside. The likely outcomes below agree with the bookmakers instead.
Likely, at a fair price
We agree with the bookmakers: likely to land, but the odds give no edge-
Goals O/U 1.5Over 1.5 goalsUs 85%Books 86% Best odds 1.15 (Betano)
Most likely: Away win
Home win
19%
Bookmakers 18%
Draw
21%
Bookmakers 21%
Away win
60%
Bookmakers 61%
Us 60%Bookmakers 61%
Fair price
Uncertainty ±1.8%
Most likely away win, and the bookmakers agree: no edge on the price, but a likely leg for a slip.
- Away win: 60% against a market price of 61% (-1.0%).
The full reasoning, 20 more markets and 1 version of this pick
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Excelsior vs Twente preview
Excelsior host Twente in the Eredivisie on Sunday 1 November at 13:30 at Stadion Woudestein.
Our model gives Excelsior 19%, the draw 21% and Twente 60%; the bookmakers' prices said 18%, 21% and 61%.
Excelsior have 0 wins, 1 draw and 4 defeats from their last 5 (4 scored, 14 conceded).
Twente have 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat from their last 5 (9 scored, 4 conceded).
In their last 2 meetings Excelsior won 1, Twente won 0 and 1 was drawn, with 0.5 goals a game.
Another call we like: Over 1.5 goals (Goals O/U 1.5) at 85%.
More Eredivisie predictions
All Eredivisie matches- Sat 31 Oct, 15:30 Feyenoord vs Fortuna Sittard Feyenoord win 80% @ 1.18
- Sat 31 Oct, 17:45 PSV Eindhoven vs Willem II PSV Eindhoven win 89% @ 1.09
- Sat 31 Oct, 17:45 Heerenveen vs NEC Nijmegen Heerenveen win 45% @ 2.13
- Sat 31 Oct, 20:00 Ajax vs AZ Alkmaar Ajax win 54% @ 1.81
- Sat 31 Oct, 20:00 Cambuur vs GO Ahead Eagles Cambuur win 39% @ 3.00
- Sun 1 Nov, 11:15 PEC Zwolle vs ADO Den Haag PEC Zwolle win 38% @ 2.25
Form and head-to-head
All competitionsExcelsior
LLLDL
- 25 Oct · A v Fortuna Sittard 0–1 (xG 0.41–0.78)
- 16 Oct · A v Heerenveen 0–4 (xG 0.73–2.33)
- 11 Oct · H v Groningen 1–5 (xG 1.77–2.75)
- 19 Sep · A v Ajax 2–2 (xG 0.82–2.51)
- 13 Sep · H v Utrecht 1–2 (xG 0.61–1.42)
Twente
WWLWD
- 25 Oct · A v AZ Alkmaar 2–0 (xG 2.07–1.27)
- 22 Oct · A v Lincoln Red Imps FC 4–1 (xG 4.89–0.15)
- 18 Oct · H v Utrecht 1–2 (xG 1.36–1.25)
- 15 Oct · H v FC Thun 1–0 (xG 2.18–0.20)
- 10 Oct · A v Fortuna Sittard 1–1 (xG 1.17–0.85)
Head-to-head
Excelsior 1 · draws 1 · Twente 0, 0.5 goals a game
- 24 Jan 2026 · Twente 0–0 Excelsior (Eredivisie)
- 30 Aug 2025 · Excelsior 1–0 Twente (Eredivisie)