Telstar vs Utrecht prediction
Sun 1 Nov, 13:30
BUKO Stadion
No bet worth taking on this match. None of its markets beats the bookmakers' price by more than our own uncertainty, so we stand aside. The likely outcomes below agree with the bookmakers instead.
Likely, at a fair price
We agree with the bookmakers: likely to land, but the odds give no edge-
Goals O/U 1.5Over 1.5 goalsUs 84%Books 84% Best odds 1.17 (Betano)
Match result: no bet
Home win
34%
Bookmakers 34%
Draw
25%
Bookmakers 25%
Away win
42%
Bookmakers 41%
Us 42%Bookmakers 41%
Fair price
Uncertainty ±1.8%
Most likely away win, but we would not bet on it: only 42% likely; a bet needs at least 60% (value +0.3% alone is not enough).
- Away win: 42% against a market price of 41% (+0.3%).
The full reasoning, 20 more markets and 2 versions of this pick
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Telstar vs Utrecht preview
Telstar host Utrecht in the Eredivisie on Sunday 1 November at 13:30 at BUKO Stadion.
Our model gives Telstar 34%, the draw 25% and Utrecht 42%; the bookmakers' prices said 34%, 25% and 41%.
Telstar have 0 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats from their last 5 (7 scored, 10 conceded).
Utrecht have 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat from their last 5 (8 scored, 9 conceded).
In their last 2 meetings Telstar won 0, Utrecht won 1 and 1 was drawn, with 3.5 goals a game.
Another call we like: Over 1.5 goals (Goals O/U 1.5) at 84%.
More Eredivisie predictions
All Eredivisie matches- Sat 31 Oct, 15:30 Feyenoord vs Fortuna Sittard Feyenoord win 80% @ 1.18
- Sat 31 Oct, 17:45 PSV Eindhoven vs Willem II PSV Eindhoven win 89% @ 1.09
- Sat 31 Oct, 17:45 Heerenveen vs NEC Nijmegen Heerenveen win 45% @ 2.13
- Sat 31 Oct, 20:00 Ajax vs AZ Alkmaar Ajax win 54% @ 1.81
- Sat 31 Oct, 20:00 Cambuur vs GO Ahead Eagles Cambuur win 39% @ 3.00
- Sun 1 Nov, 11:15 PEC Zwolle vs ADO Den Haag PEC Zwolle win 38% @ 2.25
Form and head-to-head
All competitionsTelstar
LLDLD
- 23 Oct · A v GO Ahead Eagles 2–3 (xG 1.07–1.14)
- 17 Oct · H v Feyenoord 3–4 (xG 1.43–3.83)
- 11 Oct · H v ADO Den Haag 2–2 (xG 2.86–1.38)
- 20 Sep · A v AZ Alkmaar 0–1 (xG 0.10–2.35)
- 13 Sep · A v Heerenveen 0–0 (xG 0.71–1.54)
Utrecht
DWWLW
- 24 Oct · H v PEC Zwolle 1–1 (xG 1.66–0.95)
- 18 Oct · A v Twente 2–1 (xG 1.25–1.36)
- 11 Oct · H v Willem II 3–1 (xG 1.30–0.61)
- 20 Sep · A v Feyenoord 0–5 (xG 0.58–3.41)
- 13 Sep · A v Excelsior 2–1 (xG 1.42–0.61)
Head-to-head
Telstar 0 · draws 1 · Utrecht 1, 3.5 goals a game
- 11 Apr 2026 · Utrecht 4–1 Telstar (Eredivisie)
- 23 Nov 2025 · Telstar 1–1 Utrecht (Eredivisie)