Groningen vs Sparta Rotterdam prediction

15:45

Sun 1 Nov, 15:45 Euroborg

No bet worth taking on this match. None of its markets beats the bookmakers' price by more than our own uncertainty, so we stand aside. The likely outcomes below agree with the bookmakers instead.

Likely, at a fair price

We agree with the bookmakers: likely to land, but the odds give no edge

Goals O/U 1.5Over 1.5 goals

Us 85%Books 86% Best odds 1.16 (Betano)

Match result: no bet

Home win

55%

Bookmakers 55%

Draw

22%

Bookmakers 22%

Away win

23%

Bookmakers 23%

Us 55%Bookmakers 55% Fair price Uncertainty ±2.1%

Most likely home win, but we would not bet on it: only 55% likely; a bet needs at least 60% (value +0.1% alone is not enough).

Home win: 55% against a market price of 55% (+0.1%).

The full reasoning, 20 more markets and 1 version of this pick

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Groningen vs Sparta Rotterdam preview

Groningen host Sparta Rotterdam in the Eredivisie on Sunday 1 November at 15:45 at Euroborg.

Our model gives Groningen 55%, the draw 22% and Sparta Rotterdam 23%; the bookmakers' prices said 55%, 22% and 23%.

Groningen have 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat from their last 5 (13 scored, 9 conceded).

Sparta Rotterdam have 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats from their last 5 (8 scored, 15 conceded).

In their last 5 meetings Groningen won 1, Sparta Rotterdam won 4 and 0 were drawn, with 2.6 goals a game.

Another call we like: Over 1.5 goals (Goals O/U 1.5) at 85%.

More Eredivisie predictions

All Eredivisie matches

Sat 31 Oct, 15:30 Feyenoord vs Fortuna Sittard Feyenoord win 80% @ 1.18
Sat 31 Oct, 17:45 PSV Eindhoven vs Willem II PSV Eindhoven win 89% @ 1.09
Sat 31 Oct, 17:45 Heerenveen vs NEC Nijmegen Heerenveen win 45% @ 2.13
Sat 31 Oct, 20:00 Ajax vs AZ Alkmaar Ajax win 54% @ 1.81
Sat 31 Oct, 20:00 Cambuur vs GO Ahead Eagles Cambuur win 39% @ 3.00
Sun 1 Nov, 11:15 PEC Zwolle vs ADO Den Haag PEC Zwolle win 38% @ 2.25

Form and head-to-head

All competitions

Groningen

DLWWD

25 Oct · A v NEC Nijmegen 2–2 (xG 1.51–1.88)
18 Oct · H v Ajax 2–5 (xG 2.29–3.04)
11 Oct · A v Excelsior 5–1 (xG 2.75–1.77)
18 Sep · H v PEC Zwolle 3–0 (xG 1.39–0.43)
12 Sep · A v GO Ahead Eagles 1–1 (xG 0.16–2.23)

Sparta Rotterdam

LWDLL

25 Oct · H v Ajax 1–2 (xG 0.93–1.43)
17 Oct · H v Willem II 3–2 (xG 3.46–1.24)
10 Oct · A v GO Ahead Eagles 3–3 (xG 2.36–1.29)
19 Sep · H v Heerenveen 0–4 (xG 0.67–1.80)
13 Sep · A v PSV Eindhoven 1–4 (xG 2.29–3.75)

Head-to-head

Groningen 1 · draws 0 · Sparta Rotterdam 4, 2.6 goals a game

31 Jan 2026 · Sparta Rotterdam 2–0 Groningen (Eredivisie)
30 Oct 2025 · Sparta Rotterdam 5–2 Groningen (KNVB Beker)
19 Oct 2025 · Groningen 0–2 Sparta Rotterdam (Eredivisie)
2 Feb 2025 · Sparta Rotterdam 1–0 Groningen (Eredivisie)
9 Nov 2024 · Groningen 1–0 Sparta Rotterdam (Eredivisie)