Paris FC vs Monaco prediction
Sun 1 Nov, 16:15
Stade Jean Bouin
No bet worth taking on this match. None of its markets beats the bookmakers' price by more than our own uncertainty, so we stand aside. The likely outcomes below agree with the bookmakers instead.
Likely, at a fair price
We agree with the bookmakers: likely to land, but the odds give no edge-
Goals O/U 1.5Over 1.5 goalsUs 78%Books 78% Best odds 1.27 (Betano)
Match result: no bet
Home win
41%
Bookmakers 41%
Draw
26%
Bookmakers 27%
Away win
33%
Bookmakers 32%
Us 41%Bookmakers 41%
Fair price
Uncertainty ±1.8%
Most likely home win, but we would not bet on it: only 41% likely; a bet needs at least 60%.
- Home win: 41% against a market price of 41% (-0.5%).
The full reasoning, 20 more markets and 1 version of this pick
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Paris FC vs Monaco preview
Paris FC host Monaco in the Ligue 1 on Sunday 1 November at 16:15 at Stade Jean Bouin.
Our model gives Paris FC 41%, the draw 26% and Monaco 33%; the bookmakers' prices said 41%, 27% and 32%.
Paris FC have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats from their last 5 (7 scored, 7 conceded).
Monaco have 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat from their last 5 (8 scored, 5 conceded).
In their last 2 meetings Paris FC won 2, Monaco won 0 and 0 were drawn, with 3.0 goals a game.
Another call we like: Over 1.5 goals (Goals O/U 1.5) at 78%.
More Ligue 1 predictions
All Ligue 1 matches- Fri 30 Oct, 18:00 Le Havre vs Paris Saint Germain Paris Saint Germain win 76% @ 1.29
- Fri 30 Oct, 18:00 Nice vs Rennes Rennes win 43% @ 2.53
- Fri 30 Oct, 20:05 Lille vs Lens Lille win 40% @ 2.64
- Sat 31 Oct, 19:45 Lorient vs Stade Brestois 29 Lorient win 42% @ 2.50
- Sat 31 Oct, 19:45 Estac Troyes vs Le Mans Estac Troyes win 43% @ 2.39
- Sun 1 Nov, 14:00 Strasbourg vs Auxerre Strasbourg win 52% @ 1.87
Form and head-to-head
All competitionsParis FC
LWLWD
- 24 Oct · A v Lens 1–2 (xG 0.44–1.10)
- 18 Oct · H v Rennes 4–3 (xG 3.71–3.08)
- 10 Oct · A v Lorient 0–1 (xG 0.99–0.60)
- 19 Sep · H v Strasbourg 2–1 (xG 1.05–0.24)
- 12 Sep · H v Lyon 0–0 (xG 0.30–0.50)
Monaco
DWLWD
- 25 Oct · H v Lille 1–1 (xG 2.24–0.71)
- 22 Oct · H v SC Freiburg 3–0 (xG 1.25–0.83)
- 18 Oct · A v Lorient 0–1 (xG 0.71–1.66)
- 15 Oct · A v CSKA Sofia 2–1 (xG 1.32–1.28)
- 10 Oct · H v Toulouse 2–2 (xG 1.25–1.49)
Head-to-head
Paris FC 2 · draws 0 · Monaco 0, 3.0 goals a game
- 10 Apr 2026 · Paris FC 4–1 Monaco (Ligue 1)
- 1 Nov 2025 · Monaco 0–1 Paris FC (Ligue 1)