Aston Villa vs Fulham prediction

20:00

Sat 31 Oct, 20:00 Villa Park

No bet worth taking on this match. None of its markets beats the bookmakers' price by more than our own uncertainty, so we stand aside. The likely outcomes below agree with the bookmakers instead.

Likely, at a fair price

We agree with the bookmakers: likely to land, but the odds give no edge

Goals O/U 1.5Over 1.5 goals

Us 80%Books 80% Best odds 1.23 (Betano)

Match result: no bet

Home win

51%

Bookmakers 48%

Draw

25%

Bookmakers 25%

Away win

25%

Bookmakers 26%

Us 51%Bookmakers 48% Fair price Uncertainty ±2.4%

Most likely home win, but we would not bet on it: only 51% likely; a bet needs at least 60% (value +2.2% alone is not enough).

Home win: 51% against a market price of 48% (+2.2%).

The full reasoning, 20 more markets and 1 version of this pick

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Aston Villa vs Fulham preview

Aston Villa host Fulham in the Premier League on Saturday 31 October at 20:00 at Villa Park.

Our model gives Aston Villa 51%, the draw 25% and Fulham 25%; the bookmakers' prices said 48%, 25% and 26%.

Aston Villa have 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeat from their last 5 (12 scored, 5 conceded).

Fulham have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats from their last 5 (4 scored, 4 conceded).

In their last 4 meetings Aston Villa won 3, Fulham won 1 and 0 were drawn, with 2.5 goals a game.

Another call we like: Over 1.5 goals (Goals O/U 1.5) at 80%.

More Premier League predictions

All Premier League matches

Sat 31 Oct, 12:30 Chelsea vs Manchester United Chelsea win 51% @ 1.90
Sat 31 Oct, 15:00 Bournemouth vs Leeds Bournemouth win 48% @ 2.18
Sat 31 Oct, 15:00 Manchester City vs Brighton Manchester City win 59% @ 1.67
Sat 31 Oct, 15:00 Brentford vs Nottingham Forest Brentford win 47% @ 2.09
Sat 31 Oct, 15:00 Hull City vs Ipswich Hull City win 37% @ 2.73
Sat 31 Oct, 15:00 Coventry vs Sunderland Sunderland win 38% @ 2.46

Form and head-to-head

All competitions

Aston Villa

LWWWW

28 Oct · A v Bournemouth 0–3 (xG 1.67–2.75)
24 Oct · H v Manchester City 2–1 (xG 0.64–1.81)
21 Oct · H v Viking 3–1 (xG 2.75–0.81)
17 Oct · A v Newcastle 1–0 (xG 1.63–1.07)
14 Oct · H v Fenerbahçe 6–0 (xG 3.15–1.75)

Fulham

LWWLD

28 Oct · H v Crystal Palace 0–1 (xG 1.58–0.58)
24 Oct · A v Coventry 1–0 (xG 0.61–0.58)
17 Oct · H v Hull City 1–0 (xG 1.48–0.18)
10 Oct · A v Ipswich 1–2 (xG 1.81–1.15)
20 Sep · H v Manchester United 1–1 (xG 1.62–1.60)

Head-to-head

Aston Villa 3 · draws 0 · Fulham 1, 2.5 goals a game

25 Apr 2026 · Fulham 1–0 Aston Villa (Premier League)
28 Sep 2025 · Aston Villa 3–1 Fulham (Premier League)
3 May 2025 · Aston Villa 1–0 Fulham (Premier League)
19 Oct 2024 · Fulham 1–3 Aston Villa (Premier League)