Barcelona vs Alaves prediction

20:00

Sat 31 Oct, 20:00 Camp Nou

No bet worth taking on this match. None of its markets beats the bookmakers' price by more than our own uncertainty, so we stand aside. The likely outcomes below agree with the bookmakers instead.

Likely, at a fair price

We agree with the bookmakers: likely to land, but the odds give no edge

Goals O/U 1.5Over 1.5 goals

Us 92%Books 92% Best odds 1.07 (Betano)

Most likely: Home win

Home win

87%

Bookmakers 88%

Draw

Bookmakers 9%

Away win

Bookmakers 3%

Us 87%Bookmakers 88% Fair price Uncertainty ±0.8%

Most likely home win, and the bookmakers agree: no edge on the price, but a likely leg for a slip.

Home win: 87% against a market price of 88% (-0.9%).

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Barcelona vs Alaves preview

Barcelona host Alaves in the La Liga on Saturday 31 October at 20:00 at Camp Nou.

Our model gives Barcelona 87%, the draw 9% and Alaves 3%; the bookmakers' prices said 88%, 9% and 3%.

Barcelona have 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats from their last 5 (15 scored, 9 conceded).

Alaves have 0 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats from their last 5 (3 scored, 6 conceded).

In their last 4 meetings Barcelona won 3, Alaves won 1 and 0 were drawn, with 2.2 goals a game.

Another call we like: Over 1.5 goals (Goals O/U 1.5) at 92%.

More La Liga predictions

All La Liga matches

Fri 30 Oct, 20:00 Villarreal vs Espanyol Villarreal win 65% @ 1.50
Sat 31 Oct, 13:00 Levante vs Atletico Madrid Atletico Madrid win 54% @ 1.65
Sat 31 Oct, 15:15 Rayo Vallecano vs Celta Vigo Rayo Vallecano win 42% @ 2.44
Sat 31 Oct, 17:30 Real Betis vs Malaga Real Betis win 68% @ 1.42

Form and head-to-head

All competitions

Barcelona

LLWWW

25 Oct · H v Real Madrid 1–2 (xG 1.27–2.01)
20 Oct · A v Paris Saint Germain 2–4 (xG 2.25–3.74)
17 Oct · A v Real Betis 5–2 (xG 3.05–1.02)
13 Oct · A v Galatasaray 4–1 (xG 2.86–0.42)
10 Oct · H v Getafe 3–0 (xG 1.93–0.14)

Alaves

DLLDL

23 Oct · H v Malaga 1–1 (xG 1.55–0.49)
18 Oct · A v Celta Vigo 1–2 (xG 1.05–0.91)
10 Oct · H v Atletico Madrid 1–2 (xG 1.30–2.05)
19 Sep · A v Athletic Club 0–0 (xG 0.05–1.62)
15 Sep · H v Valencia 0–1 (xG 1.05–0.65)

Head-to-head

Barcelona 3 · draws 0 · Alaves 1, 2.3 goals a game

13 May 2026 · Alaves 1–0 Barcelona (La Liga)
29 Nov 2025 · Barcelona 3–1 Alaves (La Liga)
2 Feb 2025 · Barcelona 1–0 Alaves (La Liga)
6 Oct 2024 · Alaves 0–3 Barcelona (La Liga)