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Levante vs Atletico Madrid prediction

Sat 31 Oct, 13:00 Estadio Ciudad de Valencia
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No bet worth taking on this match. None of its markets beats the bookmakers' price by more than our own uncertainty, so we stand aside. The likely outcomes below agree with the bookmakers instead.

Likely, at a fair price

We agree with the bookmakers: likely to land, but the odds give no edge
  • Goals O/U 1.5Over 1.5 goals
    Us 82%Books 83% Best odds 1.18 (Betano)

Match result: no bet

Home win
23%
Bookmakers 18%
Draw
23%
Bookmakers 21%
Away win
54%
Bookmakers 61%
Us 54%Bookmakers 61% Odds too short Uncertainty ±2.4%

Most likely away win, but we would not bet on it: only 54% likely; a bet needs at least 60%.

  • Away win: 54% against a market price of 61% (-6.5%).

The full reasoning, 20 more markets and 1 version of this pick

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Levante vs Atletico Madrid preview

Levante host Atletico Madrid in the La Liga on Saturday 31 October at 13:00 at Estadio Ciudad de Valencia.

Our model gives Levante 23%, the draw 23% and Atletico Madrid 54%; the bookmakers' prices said 18%, 21% and 61%.

Levante have 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats from their last 5 (9 scored, 10 conceded).

Atletico Madrid have 4 wins, 1 draw and 0 defeats from their last 5 (7 scored, 2 conceded).

In their last 2 meetings Levante won 0, Atletico Madrid won 1 and 1 was drawn, with 2.0 goals a game.

Another call we like: Over 1.5 goals (Goals O/U 1.5) at 82%.

More La Liga predictions

All La Liga matches

Form and head-to-head

All competitions

Levante

LWDDL
  • 25 Oct · A v Real Sociedad 1–2 (xG 0.70–2.54)
  • 21 Oct · H v Athletic Club 3–1 (xG 2.05–1.95)
  • 16 Oct · A v Deportivo La Coruna 1–1 (xG 0.85–1.15)
  • 12 Oct · H v Sevilla 3–3 (xG 2.00–2.55)
  • 20 Sep · A v Villarreal 1–3 (xG 0.45–4.27)

Atletico Madrid

WDWWW
  • 24 Oct · H v Deportivo La Coruna 1–0 (xG 1.44–2.02)
  • 20 Oct · A v VfB Stuttgart 1–1 (xG 0.90–1.53)
  • 17 Oct · A v Espanyol 1–0 (xG 1.41–0.61)
  • 13 Oct · H v Manchester United 2–0 (xG 1.47–0.98)
  • 10 Oct · A v Alaves 2–1 (xG 2.05–1.30)

Head-to-head

Levante 0 · draws 1 · Atletico Madrid 1, 2.0 goals a game

  • 31 Jan 2026 · Levante 0–0 Atletico Madrid (La Liga)
  • 8 Nov 2025 · Atletico Madrid 3–1 Levante (La Liga)