Rayo Vallecano vs Celta Vigo prediction

15:15

Sat 31 Oct, 15:15 Campo de Futbol de Vallecas

No bet worth taking on this match. None of its markets beats the bookmakers' price by more than our own uncertainty, so we stand aside. The likely outcomes below agree with the bookmakers instead.

Likely, at a fair price

We agree with the bookmakers: likely to land, but the odds give no edge

Goals O/U 3.5Under 3.5 goals

Us 76%Books 76% Best odds 1.29 (Betano)

Match result: no bet

Home win

42%

Bookmakers 40%

Draw

28%

Bookmakers 29%

Away win

30%

Bookmakers 31%

Us 42%Bookmakers 40% Fair price Uncertainty ±2.3%

Most likely home win, but we would not bet on it: only 42% likely; a bet needs at least 60% (value +1.7% alone is not enough).

Home win: 42% against a market price of 40% (+1.7%).

The full reasoning, 20 more markets and 1 version of this pick

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Rayo Vallecano vs Celta Vigo preview

Rayo Vallecano host Celta Vigo in the La Liga on Saturday 31 October at 15:15 at Campo de Futbol de Vallecas.

Our model gives Rayo Vallecano 42%, the draw 28% and Celta Vigo 30%; the bookmakers' prices said 40%, 29% and 31%.

Rayo Vallecano have 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats from their last 5 (5 scored, 10 conceded).

Celta Vigo have 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat from their last 5 (5 scored, 4 conceded).

In their last 4 meetings Rayo Vallecano won 2, Celta Vigo won 1 and 1 was drawn, with 2.8 goals a game.

Another call we like: Under 3.5 goals (Goals O/U 3.5) at 76%.

More La Liga predictions

All La Liga matches

Fri 30 Oct, 20:00 Villarreal vs Espanyol Villarreal win 65% @ 1.50
Sat 31 Oct, 13:00 Levante vs Atletico Madrid Atletico Madrid win 54% @ 1.65
Sat 31 Oct, 17:30 Real Betis vs Malaga Real Betis win 68% @ 1.42
Sat 31 Oct, 20:00 Barcelona vs Alaves Barcelona win 87% @ 1.12

Form and head-to-head

All competitions

Rayo Vallecano

LDDWL

24 Oct · H v Elche 0–3 (xG 1.61–2.63)
19 Oct · A v Getafe 1–1 (xG 2.15–0.67)
19 Sep · A v Osasuna 1–1 (xG 1.01–0.53)
15 Sep · H v Espanyol 2–1 (xG 1.52–1.49)
12 Sep · A v Real Madrid 1–4 (xG 1.21–2.62)

Celta Vigo

DWWLD

25 Oct · H v Real Betis 0–0 (xG 0.83–1.21)
22 Oct · A v Celtic 2–1 (xG 1.27–0.59)
18 Oct · H v Alaves 2–1 (xG 0.91–1.05)
15 Oct · H v Juventus 1–2 (xG 1.10–1.75)
11 Oct · A v Elche 0–0 (xG 0.47–0.78)

Head-to-head

Rayo Vallecano 2 · draws 1 · Celta Vigo 1, 2.8 goals a game

18 Jan 2026 · Celta Vigo 3–0 Rayo Vallecano (La Liga)
21 Sep 2025 · Rayo Vallecano 1–1 Celta Vigo (La Liga)
18 May 2025 · Celta Vigo 1–2 Rayo Vallecano (La Liga)
10 Jan 2025 · Rayo Vallecano 2–1 Celta Vigo (La Liga)