Real Betis vs Malaga prediction
Sat 31 Oct, 17:30
Estadio de La Cartuja
No bet worth taking on this match. None of its markets beats the bookmakers' price by more than our own uncertainty, so we stand aside. The likely outcomes below agree with the bookmakers instead.
Likely, at a fair price
We agree with the bookmakers: likely to land, but the odds give no edge-
Goals O/U 1.5Over 1.5 goalsUs 83%Books 84% Best odds 1.17 (Betano)
Most likely: Home win
Home win
68%
Bookmakers 70%
Draw
19%
Bookmakers 18%
Away win
13%
Bookmakers 12%
Us 68%Bookmakers 70%
Odds too short
Uncertainty ±3.9%
Most likely home win, and the bookmakers agree: no edge on the price, but a likely leg for a slip.
- Home win: 68% against a market price of 70% (-2.2%).
The full reasoning, 20 more markets and 1 version of this pick
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Real Betis vs Malaga preview
Real Betis host Malaga in the La Liga on Saturday 31 October at 17:30 at Estadio de La Cartuja.
Our model gives Real Betis 68%, the draw 19% and Malaga 13%; the bookmakers' prices said 70%, 18% and 12%.
Real Betis have 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat from their last 5 (11 scored, 9 conceded).
Malaga have 0 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats from their last 5 (5 scored, 11 conceded).
Another call we like: Over 1.5 goals (Goals O/U 1.5) at 83%.
More La Liga predictions
All La Liga matches- Fri 30 Oct, 20:00 Villarreal vs Espanyol Villarreal win 65% @ 1.50
- Sat 31 Oct, 13:00 Levante vs Atletico Madrid Atletico Madrid win 54% @ 1.65
- Sat 31 Oct, 15:15 Rayo Vallecano vs Celta Vigo Rayo Vallecano win 42% @ 2.44
- Sat 31 Oct, 20:00 Barcelona vs Alaves Barcelona win 87% @ 1.12
Form and head-to-head
All competitionsReal Betis
DWLWW
- 25 Oct · A v Celta Vigo 0–0 (xG 1.21–0.83)
- 21 Oct · H v Feyenoord 1–0 (xG 2.04–0.81)
- 17 Oct · H v Barcelona 2–5 (xG 1.02–3.05)
- 14 Oct · H v FC Porto 3–2 (xG 1.76–1.02)
- 11 Oct · H v Osasuna 5–2 (xG 2.89–1.94)
Malaga
DLDLL
- 23 Oct · A v Alaves 1–1 (xG 0.49–1.55)
- 18 Oct · H v Real Sociedad 2–5 (xG 1.10–2.43)
- 9 Oct · H v Espanyol 1–1 (xG 0.69–1.08)
- 20 Sep · A v Getafe 0–1 (xG 0.52–0.95)
- 17 Sep · H v Villarreal 1–3 (xG 0.63–3.33)
Head-to-head
No previous meeting stored.