FC Augsburg vs SC Freiburg prediction

14:30

Sat 31 Oct, 14:30 WWK Arena

No bet worth taking on this match. None of its markets beats the bookmakers' price by more than our own uncertainty, so we stand aside. The likely outcomes below agree with the bookmakers instead.

Likely, at a fair price

We agree with the bookmakers: likely to land, but the odds give no edge

Goals O/U 1.5Over 1.5 goals

Us 86%Books 85% Best odds 1.16 (Betano)

Match result: no bet

Home win

34%

Bookmakers 32%

Draw

23%

Bookmakers 24%

Away win

43%

Bookmakers 44%

Us 43%Bookmakers 44% Fair price Uncertainty ±2.2%

Most likely away win, but we would not bet on it: only 43% likely; a bet needs at least 60%.

Away win: 43% against a market price of 44% (-0.8%).

The full reasoning, 20 more markets and 1 version of this pick

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FC Augsburg vs SC Freiburg preview

FC Augsburg host SC Freiburg in the Bundesliga on Saturday 31 October at 14:30 at WWK Arena.

Our model gives FC Augsburg 34%, the draw 23% and SC Freiburg 43%; the bookmakers' prices said 32%, 24% and 44%.

FC Augsburg have 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats from their last 5 (12 scored, 12 conceded).

SC Freiburg have 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats from their last 5 (8 scored, 12 conceded).

In their last 4 meetings FC Augsburg won 1, SC Freiburg won 1 and 2 were drawn, with 3.0 goals a game.

Another call we like: Over 1.5 goals (Goals O/U 1.5) at 86%.

More Bundesliga predictions

All Bundesliga matches

Fri 30 Oct, 19:30 SV Elversberg vs FSV Mainz 05 FSV Mainz 05 win 42% @ 2.15
Sat 31 Oct, 14:30 Werder Bremen vs 1899 Hoffenheim 1899 Hoffenheim win 43% @ 2.30
Sat 31 Oct, 14:30 Borussia Mönchengladbach vs SC Paderborn 07 Borussia Mönchengladbach win 47% @ 2.00
Sat 31 Oct, 14:30 Bayer Leverkusen vs VfB Stuttgart Bayer Leverkusen win 55% @ 1.85
Sat 31 Oct, 14:30 FC Schalke 04 vs RB Leipzig RB Leipzig win 49% @ 1.92
Sat 31 Oct, 17:30 Bayern München vs Borussia Dortmund Bayern München win 72% @ 1.40

Form and head-to-head

All competitions

FC Augsburg

WDLDL

27 Oct · A v SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach 4–2 (xG 1.52–0.78)
24 Oct · H v Union Berlin 1–1 (xG 1.91–1.24)
17 Oct · A v SV Elversberg 3–4 (xG 3.51–3.69)
10 Oct · H v Bayern München 2–2 (xG 2.37–4.96)
19 Sep · A v Werder Bremen 2–3 (xG 1.12–2.78)

SC Freiburg

WLLLW

28 Oct · H v VfL Wolfsburg 3–2 (xG 1.72–1.48)
25 Oct · H v Bayern München 1–3 (xG 0.97–3.05)
22 Oct · A v Monaco 0–3 (xG 0.83–1.25)
18 Oct · A v Bayer Leverkusen 1–2 (xG 1.08–1.67)
15 Oct · H v FK Jablonec 3–2 (xG 1.87–1.18)

Head-to-head

FC Augsburg 1 · draws 2 · SC Freiburg 1, 3.0 goals a game

18 Jan 2026 · FC Augsburg 2–2 SC Freiburg (Bundesliga)
23 Aug 2025 · SC Freiburg 1–3 FC Augsburg (Bundesliga)
2 Mar 2025 · FC Augsburg 0–0 SC Freiburg (Bundesliga)
19 Oct 2024 · SC Freiburg 3–1 FC Augsburg (Bundesliga)