Borussia Mönchengladbach vs SC Paderborn 07 prediction
Sat 31 Oct, 14:30
Borussia-Park
No bet worth taking on this match. None of its markets beats the bookmakers' price by more than our own uncertainty, so we stand aside. The likely outcomes below agree with the bookmakers instead.
Likely, at a fair price
We agree with the bookmakers: likely to land, but the odds give no edge-
Goals O/U 1.5Over 1.5 goalsUs 85%Books 85% Best odds 1.17 (Betano)
Match result: no bet
Home win
47%
Bookmakers 50%
Draw
24%
Bookmakers 23%
Away win
29%
Bookmakers 27%
Us 47%Bookmakers 50%
Odds too short
Uncertainty ±4.0%
Most likely home win, but we would not bet on it: only 47% likely; a bet needs at least 60%.
- Home win: 47% against a market price of 50% (-2.5%).
The full reasoning, 20 more markets and 1 version of this pick
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Borussia Mönchengladbach vs SC Paderborn 07 preview
Borussia Mönchengladbach host SC Paderborn 07 in the Bundesliga on Saturday 31 October at 14:30 at Borussia-Park.
Our model gives Borussia Mönchengladbach 47%, the draw 24% and SC Paderborn 07 29%; the bookmakers' prices said 50%, 23% and 27%.
Borussia Mönchengladbach have 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats from their last 5 (10 scored, 10 conceded).
SC Paderborn 07 have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats from their last 5 (6 scored, 6 conceded).
Another call we like: Over 1.5 goals (Goals O/U 1.5) at 85%.
More Bundesliga predictions
All Bundesliga matches- Fri 30 Oct, 19:30 SV Elversberg vs FSV Mainz 05 FSV Mainz 05 win 42% @ 2.15
- Sat 31 Oct, 14:30 Werder Bremen vs 1899 Hoffenheim 1899 Hoffenheim win 43% @ 2.30
- Sat 31 Oct, 14:30 Bayer Leverkusen vs VfB Stuttgart Bayer Leverkusen win 55% @ 1.85
- Sat 31 Oct, 14:30 FC Augsburg vs SC Freiburg SC Freiburg win 43% @ 2.25
- Sat 31 Oct, 14:30 FC Schalke 04 vs RB Leipzig RB Leipzig win 49% @ 1.92
- Sat 31 Oct, 17:30 Bayern München vs Borussia Dortmund Bayern München win 72% @ 1.40
Form and head-to-head
All competitionsBorussia Mönchengladbach
WWLLL
- 27 Oct · H v Karlsruher SC 2–0 (xG 0.77–0.91)
- 23 Oct · A v VfB Stuttgart 3–2 (xG 2.66–1.60)
- 18 Oct · H v 1899 Hoffenheim 1–2 (xG 0.42–1.84)
- 11 Oct · A v 1. FC Köln 1–2 (xG 1.17–1.32)
- 19 Sep · H v FSV Mainz 05 3–4 (xG 3.24–2.82)
SC Paderborn 07
LWDLW
- 28 Oct · H v VfB Stuttgart 0–1 (xG 0.92–3.22)
- 24 Oct · H v Hamburger SV 1–0 (xG 1.21–0.49)
- 17 Oct · A v Werder Bremen 2–2 (xG 1.01–2.87)
- 10 Oct · H v VfB Stuttgart 0–2 (xG 1.96–2.47)
- 20 Sep · H v 1899 Hoffenheim 3–1 (xG 0.68–1.50)
Head-to-head
No previous meeting stored.