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Werder Bremen vs 1899 Hoffenheim prediction

Sat 31 Oct, 14:30 Weserstadion
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No bet worth taking on this match. None of its markets beats the bookmakers' price by more than our own uncertainty, so we stand aside. The likely outcomes below agree with the bookmakers instead.

Likely, at a fair price

We agree with the bookmakers: likely to land, but the odds give no edge
  • Goals O/U 1.5Over 1.5 goals
    Us 87%Books 88% Best odds 1.14 (Betano)

Match result: no bet

Home win
33%
Bookmakers 33%
Draw
24%
Bookmakers 24%
Away win
43%
Bookmakers 43%
Us 43%Bookmakers 43% Fair price Uncertainty ±2.2%

Most likely away win, but we would not bet on it: only 43% likely; a bet needs at least 60% (value +0.7% alone is not enough).

  • Away win: 43% against a market price of 43% (+0.7%).

The full reasoning, 20 more markets and 1 version of this pick

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Werder Bremen vs 1899 Hoffenheim preview

Werder Bremen host 1899 Hoffenheim in the Bundesliga on Saturday 31 October at 14:30 at Weserstadion.

Our model gives Werder Bremen 33%, the draw 24% and 1899 Hoffenheim 43%; the bookmakers' prices said 33%, 24% and 43%.

Werder Bremen have 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat from their last 5 (12 scored, 11 conceded).

1899 Hoffenheim have 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat from their last 5 (11 scored, 5 conceded).

In their last 4 meetings Werder Bremen won 1, 1899 Hoffenheim won 3 and 0 were drawn, with 3.5 goals a game.

Another call we like: Over 1.5 goals (Goals O/U 1.5) at 87%.

More Bundesliga predictions

All Bundesliga matches

Form and head-to-head

All competitions

Werder Bremen

LWDDW
  • 27 Oct · A v Borussia Dortmund 2–3 (xG 1.59–1.44)
  • 24 Oct · A v FSV Mainz 05 3–2 (xG 2.58–1.73)
  • 17 Oct · H v SC Paderborn 07 2–2 (xG 2.87–1.01)
  • 9 Oct · A v Borussia Dortmund 2–2 (xG 1.13–2.42)
  • 19 Sep · H v FC Augsburg 3–2 (xG 2.78–1.12)

1899 Hoffenheim

DWWWL
  • 28 Oct · A v Holstein Kiel 1–1 (xG 0.86–1.11)
  • 25 Oct · H v Bayer Leverkusen 3–0 (xG 3.34–0.68)
  • 22 Oct · H v Lyon 3–0 (xG 2.13–0.89)
  • 18 Oct · A v Borussia Mönchengladbach 2–1 (xG 1.84–0.42)
  • 15 Oct · H v Beşiktaş 2–3 (xG 1.20–3.39)

Head-to-head

Werder Bremen 1 · draws 0 · 1899 Hoffenheim 3, 3.5 goals a game

  • 9 May 2026 · 1899 Hoffenheim 1–0 Werder Bremen (Bundesliga)
  • 27 Jan 2026 · Werder Bremen 0–2 1899 Hoffenheim (Bundesliga)
  • 16 Feb 2025 · Werder Bremen 1–3 1899 Hoffenheim (Bundesliga)
  • 29 Sep 2024 · 1899 Hoffenheim 3–4 Werder Bremen (Bundesliga)