Perth Glory vs Adelaide United prediction

08:00

Sun 1 Nov, 08:00 HBF Park

No bet worth taking on this match. None of its markets beats the bookmakers' price by more than our own uncertainty, so we stand aside. The likely outcomes below agree with the bookmakers instead.

Likely, at a fair price

We agree with the bookmakers: likely to land, but the odds give no edge

Goals O/U 1.5Over 1.5 goals

Us 79%Books 80% Best odds 1.22 (Betano)

Match result: no bet

Home win

36%

Bookmakers 35%

Draw

26%

Bookmakers 26%

Away win

38%

Bookmakers 39%

Us 38%Bookmakers 39% Fair price Uncertainty ±1.7%

Most likely away win, but we would not bet on it: only 38% likely; a bet needs at least 60%.

Away win: 38% against a market price of 39% (-1.3%).

The full reasoning, 20 more markets and 1 version of this pick

Join free to open them

Already a member? Sign in

Perth Glory vs Adelaide United preview

Perth Glory host Adelaide United in the A-League on Sunday 1 November at 08:00 at HBF Park.

Our model gives Perth Glory 36%, the draw 26% and Adelaide United 38%; the bookmakers' prices said 35%, 26% and 39%.

Perth Glory have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats from their last 5 (7 scored, 6 conceded).

Adelaide United have 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats from their last 5 (6 scored, 7 conceded).

In their last 4 meetings Perth Glory won 1, Adelaide United won 2 and 1 was drawn, with 3.5 goals a game.

Another call we like: Over 1.5 goals (Goals O/U 1.5) at 79%.

More A-League predictions

All A-League matches

Fri 30 Oct, 09:00 Brisbane Roar vs Auckland Auckland win 39% @ 2.55
Sat 31 Oct, 04:00 Newcastle Jets vs Wellington Phoenix Newcastle Jets win 46% @ 2.02
Sat 31 Oct, 06:00 Melbourne City vs Sydney Melbourne City win 43% @ 2.15
Sat 31 Oct, 08:40 Macarthur vs Western Sydney Wanderers Macarthur win 38% @ 2.58
Sun 1 Nov, 04:00 Melbourne Victory vs Central Coast Mariners Melbourne Victory win 62% @ 1.48

Form and head-to-head

All competitions

Perth Glory

LLWDW

23 Oct · A v Brisbane Roar 1–2
17 Oct · A v Macarthur 1–2
25 Apr · H v Brisbane Roar 2–1 (xG 1.93–1.52)
18 Apr · A v Sydney 0–0 (xG 0.75–2.01)
12 Apr · H v Macarthur 3–1 (xG 1.63–1.37)

Adelaide United

LLWWL

29 Oct · H v Home United 0–2 (xG 1.63–2.73)
25 Oct · A v Sydney 1–2
15 Oct · A v BG Pathum United 2–1 (xG 1.39–1.25)
17 Sep · H v Wofoo Tai Po 3–0
11 Aug · H v Công An Nhân Dân 0–2

Head-to-head

Perth Glory 1 · draws 1 · Adelaide United 2, 3.5 goals a game

20 Feb 2026 · Adelaide United 4–0 Perth Glory (A-League)
20 Dec 2025 · Perth Glory 0–1 Adelaide United (A-League)
12 Apr 2025 · Perth Glory 4–1 Adelaide United (A-League)
29 Nov 2024 · Adelaide United 2–2 Perth Glory (A-League)